Daily Thread 19th May (Thurs)

[SimplyTheBlues(STB)]

This is probably the best bet I have seen for a while. The handicapper rarely gets things wrong but on this occasion I think Nubar Boy (6:30) at a mark of 66 is very generous. I personally think after the win against April Fool should be over 70 so has a fantastic chance to win and definitely should place. The rest of the field looks weak except for Dancing Welcome but his turf record doesn't compare to his AW performances.

I played a bit of a chicken by backing to place only and also to win on betfair as there were some crazy prices going for it about evens money to be placed which is like buying money and 9/2 to win.

So this is my NAP for the day and back 5pts win if you get anything above 2/1 which I think is value but I expect it to open about 5/2 or more.

If you have a betfair account the prices are close to evens (2.0) then back 10pts place only instead. Anything above 1.7 is like buying money then have a 10pts place only bet instead.

At the time of posting there are some prices @ 1.93

 

[heisenburg]

Morning STB

Wetherby today, with a little bit of help from my Jockey Friends
Auberge 14.00 Emily Sayer just back from injury but very keen to ride this will place may even win 6s

King in Waiting & Viva Colonia Omeras have had a few outings on the flat recently King look good for a place at Redcar & Viva likes it here, both to place

Hughsey think he has a double today Dawn Ride to beat the god Mcoy and Brink in the last (will place but personal reasons means he will be going for it on this)

Nice write up STB will be on yours, i advise singles on the above and some kind of small EW perms,Im assured they all get in the frame

Stay Frosty





PS nearly forgoy
Milano Supremo (nap) 15.40 Dave Armstrongs horse wins this

 

[SimplyTheBlues(STB)]

Few more selections:

4.55 Steel City Boy @ 7/2 2pts win
4.55 Accamelia @ 7/1 1pt win

3.50 So is she, 4.55 Steel City Boy, 6.30 Nubar Boy 0.5pt win treble
3.50 So is she, 4.55 Accamelia, 6.30 Nubar boy 0.5pt win treble

 

[Ron]

I have 4 horse ew accumulator for you today, following yesterday's successful 7 horse ew punt.

Haydock
4.00 SATWA LAIRD
4.35 MADRASA
Salisbury
7.05 DEAD COOL
7.40 LODEN

Soon be up to half a million at this rate.

 

[SimplyTheBlues(STB)]

Morning STB

Wetherby today, with a little bit of help from my Jockey Friends
Auberge 14.00 Emily Sayer just back from injury but very keen to ride this will place may even win 6s

King in Waiting & Viva Colonia Omeras have had a few outings on the flat recently King look good for a place at Redcar & Viva likes it here, both to place

Hughsey think he has a double today Dawn Ride to beat the god Mcoy and Brink in the last (will place but personal reasons means he will be going for it on this)

Nice write up STB will be on yours, i advise singles on the above and some kind of small EW perms,Im assured they all get in the frame

Stay Frosty





PS nearly forgoy
Milano Supremo (nap) 15.40 Dave Armstrongs horse wins this

King in Waiting @ 7/2 WON

Milano Supremo (nap) @ 13/5 WON

Viva Colonia PLACED

Dawn Ride PLACED

Stay warm, lol

 

[SimplyTheBlues(STB)]

I have 4 horse ew accumulator for you today, following yesterday's successful 7 horse ew punt.

Haydock
4.00 SATWA LAIRD
4.35 MADRASA
Salisbury
7.05 DEAD COOL
7.40 LODEN

Soon be up to half a million at this rate.

4.35 MADRASA PLACED @ MASSIVE 20/1

7.05 DEAD COOL WON @ 3/1


See if we laid your selections we would be in trouble.

 

[SimplyTheBlues(STB)]

Oh well terrible trouble in running for Nubar Boy. Bad day tipping from me....

 

[SimplyTheBlues(STB)]

First selection was 5pts or 10pts so split in middle to be fair.


11.5pts staked
0pts returned (bad bad day although unlucky with Nubar Boy, terrible start, terrible trouble in running)
After day 8: +8.15