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testing 100 people and finding 17 of them have covid does not mean that 1 in 17 people in the UK have covid. There is a real danger in the way these govt bodies report the figures
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Agreed. People talk about it "not being over" without understanding the context - the initial response to this virus (lockdowns, social distancing etc) was to stop people dying and stop the NHS being overwhelmed. The Government's initial plan was to allow us all to catch the virus until we achieved herd immunity - this quickly changed when they realised how fatal the virus was to so many people.
The vaccine changed things and whilst people still die of covid, there is a key element missing to all of the statistics - context.
The "people in hospital" numbers are made up of 2 factors - 1) Person in hospital & 2) person in hospital who tests positive for covid. The key part here being that even if someone is in hospital for a hip replacement and they test positive, they are counted in the figures.
The "deaths" numbers are anyone who dies within 28 of a positive test, regardless of the cause of death (unless it was significant trauma) - so you have a 90 yo cancer patient who dies of a heart attack but recorded as a covid death because he/she had a positive test 4 weeks ago.
The ONS stats are wildly speculative. They had a small sample size and simply model it upwards to provide this "1 in 17" statistic without applying any logic. Even if you look at the Govt figures, they are saying approximately 25,000 people are testing positive per day, so apply 1 in 17 to that and they are saying 25,000 out of 425,000 people tested positive - what about the other 60 odd million?
Lastly, the figures that are released lack context - how do we know that 125 people a day dying of covid is high or low? How many people die of 'flu or the common cold?
I'm not saying covid isn't serious and as someone who knows 2 people who died of it I know the heartache it can bring, but it's time to be realistic about this virus and what we need to do to live with it
Unfortunately, I had it bad. I was in bed for three weeks and ended up in hospital, but thankfully, I was not put on a ventilator.
It took me over a year to recover.
As for my wife, she had mild symptoms for a day and was fine, so I guess it all depends how susceptible you are.
Absolutely spot on. Particularly the point about flu or the cold. Statistically speaking it’s easy to scaremonger. Very easy to say that it’s a high death toll per day. So why don’t we report those same numbers for every disease out there? Instead of just cancer and the like. Even cancer deaths are not made public by the news. Just, seemingly,COVID. 125 from a cohort of almost 2000. Just over 1 in 20. And, as you rightly say, did these all have Covid as an actual cause?Agreed. People talk about it "not being over" without understanding the context - the initial response to this virus (lockdowns, social distancing etc) was to stop people dying and stop the NHS being overwhelmed. The Government's initial plan was to allow us all to catch the virus until we achieved herd immunity - this quickly changed when they realised how fatal the virus was to so many people.
The vaccine changed things and whilst people still die of covid, there is a key element missing to all of the statistics - context.
The "people in hospital" numbers are made up of 2 factors - 1) Person in hospital & 2) person in hospital who tests positive for covid. The key part here being that even if someone is in hospital for a hip replacement and they test positive, they are counted in the figures.
The "deaths" numbers are anyone who dies within 28 of a positive test, regardless of the cause of death (unless it was significant trauma) - so you have a 90 yo cancer patient who dies of a heart attack but recorded as a covid death because he/she had a positive test 4 weeks ago.
The ONS stats are wildly speculative. They had a small sample size and simply model it upwards to provide this "1 in 17" statistic without applying any logic. Even if you look at the Govt figures, they are saying approximately 25,000 people are testing positive per day, so apply 1 in 17 to that and they are saying 25,000 out of 425,000 people tested positive - what about the other 60 odd million?
Lastly, the figures that are released lack context - how do we know that 125 people a day dying of covid is high or low? How many people die of 'flu or the common cold?
I'm not saying covid isn't serious and as someone who knows 2 people who died of it I know the heartache it can bring, but it's time to be realistic about this virus and what we need to do to live with it
I found that too. Both times I was whacked for a few weeks after. My wife had it a couple weeks back and is still struggling.Tiredness has been the main struggle.
The figures have always been flawed mate, but some people still lapped them upAgreed. People talk about it "not being over" without understanding the context - the initial response to this virus (lockdowns, social distancing etc) was to stop people dying and stop the NHS being overwhelmed. The Government's initial plan was to allow us all to catch the virus until we achieved herd immunity - this quickly changed when they realised how fatal the virus was to so many people.
The vaccine changed things and whilst people still die of covid, there is a key element missing to all of the statistics - context.
The "people in hospital" numbers are made up of 2 factors - 1) Person in hospital & 2) person in hospital who tests positive for covid. The key part here being that even if someone is in hospital for a hip replacement and they test positive, they are counted in the figures.
The "deaths" numbers are anyone who dies within 28 of a positive test, regardless of the cause of death (unless it was significant trauma) - so you have a 90 yo cancer patient who dies of a heart attack but recorded as a covid death because he/she had a positive test 4 weeks ago.
The ONS stats are wildly speculative. They had a small sample size and simply model it upwards to provide this "1 in 17" statistic without applying any logic. Even if you look at the Govt figures, they are saying approximately 25,000 people are testing positive per day, so apply 1 in 17 to that and they are saying 25,000 out of 425,000 people tested positive - what about the other 60 odd million?
Lastly, the figures that are released lack context - how do we know that 125 people a day dying of covid is high or low? How many people die of 'flu or the common cold?
I'm not saying covid isn't serious and as someone who knows 2 people who died of it I know the heartache it can bring, but it's time to be realistic about this virus and what we need to do to live with it
Agreed, but it's especially annoying that certain outlets are using these numbers to suggest restrictions might come back in, or summer holidays could be at risk etcThe figures have always been flawed mate, but some people still lapped them up
Agreed, but it's especially annoying that certain outlets are using these numbers to suggest restrictions might come back in, or summer holidays could be at risk etc
Have they released figures of the hordes that were going to die because it was hot for 2 days?It's becoming scary that individuals in organisations and the media, desperate to have their moment of say or producing a good headline grabber, will push everyone ( if they haven't already) to the point of '' we aren't listening to anything''. -- and that will include important genuine advice or information from genuine sources.
Have they released figures of the hordes that were going to die because it was hot for 2 days?
Has any petrol stations closed down yet because of our banNo , because guess what, the up front mouths who give us these predictions , when proven wrong quickly become invisible and anonymous
why will nobody else join in? They must be much wealthier than they try to make out.
From what we are told , half the population are struggling to pay for fuel to get to work. Hmm, look at the queues at Dover. They reckoned that last weekend would be record breaking for start of school holidays getting away -- they said 18.5 miilion ( more than half of Britains cars ) would be on the roads for holidays, weekend breaks and excursions. Long distance pleasure use. Perhaps a lot of these tanks have been filled with the first £325 installment which was supposed to be to help with the grocery billHas any petrol stations closed down yet because of our banwhy will nobody else join in? They must be much wealthier than they try to make out.
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Have they released figures of the hordes that were going to die because it was hot for 2 days?
I found that too. Both times I was whacked for a few weeks after. My wife had it a couple weeks back and is still struggling.
I’ve also been trying to get people to ditch one electric/gas company, not worried which one , I’m with Eon but am quite happy to kick it into touch. No takers, so my sympathy is zero, can’t be arsed with the moaning sods anymore.From what we are told , half the population are struggling to pay for fuel to get to work. Hmm, look at the queues at Dover. They reckoned that last weekend would be record breaking for start of school holidays getting away -- they said 18.5 miilion ( more than half of Britains cars ) would be on the roads for holidays, weekend breaks and excursions. Long distance pleasure use. Perhaps a lot of these tanks have been filled with the first £325 installment which was supposed to be to help with the grocery bill
I'm with Eon too. My new tariff from sept. shows electricity cost doubling or so (expected) . But my daily charge is going up 125 %.. I asked what their justification was for such a rise on daily charge. First answer was just a list of what the daily charge is used forI’ve also been trying to get people to ditch one electric/gas company, not worried which one , I’m with Eon but am quite happy to kick it into touch. No takers, so my sympathy is zero, can’t be arsed with the moaning sods anymore.