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I don't know whether this graph is accurate but it looks like a normal distribution with mean of 2,500 and Sigma of 500. Indeed I would expect more points in the tails since injury rates have positive feedback
 
PowerSpurs said:
As is usual I agree with Levy's strategy though. Yes of course we failed to produce a team that can compete at the highest level but that is the expected outcome when five clubs can outspend you. You could theoretically overcome that by having better recruitment, better coaching or fewer injuries but I don't think any of those are really something under the control of management. Increasing commercial income is the only plausible way of catching the others.
And I don't think the points outcomes over the last two seasons are below the 5% confidence levels particularly given the injury outcome so I don't think there is actually any real evidence that we've underperformed.
Great that the owhers think there is though as that might lead them to invest more, although I still don't understand how they can do that in a way that allows us to spend more....unless they are planning to pay £50m a year to sponsor the stadium.
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I think the salient point here is that increasing commercial income is pointless and futile if we are a lower league side.

Unless the plan all along was to gradually step away from being a football club and simply become a permanent London all-purpose venue that hosts many different things, one of which happens to be football.

No one is arguing that increasing commercial revenue is the only way we get an edge on those 5 rivals, and the stadium is the one unique weapon we have that they currently don't (although this may change in the coming years if United and Chelsea push ahead with their own developments). But the evidence supports what Vinai has said: in pursuing commercial profit, we took our eye off the ball. Literally.
 
This letter from the Lewis mob is just lip service to appease the fans, no doubt season ticket renewals are a bit slow. It`s the same old rubbish that Levy used to send out, but now with the Lewis name on it instead. 25 years and in all that time they have been nowhere to be seen, instead happy to let Levy do their dirty work and now they throw him under the bus to take the blame for the absolute farce of a situation they have manufactured . Two trophies in 25 years and now reduced to relegation battles with the likes of West Ham, all while the fans pay some of the highest ticket prices in world football. Anybody who lets themselves be hoodwinked into believing these parasites needs their head looked at.
 
Citizen Kane. said:
I think the salient point here is that increasing commercial income is pointless and futile if we are a lower league side.

Unless the plan all along was to gradually step away from being a football club and simply become a permanent London all-purpose venue that hosts many different things, one of which happens to be football.

No one is arguing that increasing commercial revenue is the only way we get an edge on those 5 rivals, and the stadium is the one unique weapon we have that they currently don't (although this may change in the coming years if United and Chelsea push ahead with their own developments). But the evidence supports what Vinai has said: in pursuing commercial profit, we took our eye off the ball. Literally.
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My whole point is that the evidence isn't sufficient to come to that conclusion. Most of the underperformance of the last two years can be explained by injuries and everything else is entirely within normal bounds.
 
PowerSpurs said:
My whole point is that the evidence isn't sufficient to come to that conclusion. Most of the underperformance of the last two years can be explained by injuries and everything else is entirely within normal bounds.
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I acknowledge that you guage performance by league position and league position only, but for those who also care about the quality of the football on display, it is safe to say that we have underperformed for significantly longer than two years. In fact, aside from a brief blip under Conte and again under Ange, the football since Poch left has been consistently abysmal.
 
Citizen Kane. said:
I acknowledge that you guage performance by league position and league position only, but for those who also care about the quality of the football on display, it is safe to say that we have underperformed for significantly longer than two years. In fact, aside from a brief blip under Conte and again under Ange, the football since Poch left has been consistently abysmal.
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I agree with that but it's because we've gone through a bad patch with recruitment. The football under Poch was good mostly because we had gone through a very good patch in recruitment.
I just get fed up with people claiming that we've been poor at things when normal fluctuations can explain everything. EG the graph from X I linked to above where a distribution, which by eye looks normal, is captioned 'this is more than just bad luck'.
Unfortunately the 6th best team will get relegated occasionally and the 4th best one will sometimes finish in the bottom half. That's the way the world works. Getting angry and blaming people for that is just not right, nor does it help people enjoy football.
 
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