Flipped a coin between that one and the short priced favourite to put in a multi bet. Hey ho, And the next three won. Cashed out to put me well up for the Ebor, that is, except for wednesday's bar bill. Pint and a half, "is a tenner still just enough, or should I find a twenty?" £10.35. There seemed to be a much bigger crowd than past years we have been. The weather and/or the Frankie factor?
How did we do yesterday? 2:25 pm Ripon - Jersey Rocs 1/1 (1 Point) 3:45 pm Southwell - Superposition 5/4(4 Points)
****e day yesterday. We push on…. VIP TUESDAY Poor day of racing really guys to be expected after a bank holiday weekend. We will give a go on a few of these… 2.00 NEWBURY - STAR MUSIC 9/2 - 1 point win 7.05 MUSSELBURGH - METRIC 9/4 - 1 point win STAR MUSIC ran well on debut and step ups in class. He was a length of the winner on debut and ran on well when he got his act together so there's probably more to come from this one with Ryan Moore booked for the ride. It’s a good price to take on the 8/11 favourite, who must be good to be going off at 8/11. SHES QUALITY is 8/11 but has a multitude of group entries ahead of this so the Davison camp must think highly of her, the only other horse in the line up with similar entries is STAR MUSIC. Buick has a well bred Night of Thunder filly that makes debut, Godolphin paid over half a million for this one and could be anything with Buick in top form riding two trebles in a row over the bank holiday weekend. Chance taken with STAR MUSIC, good value looks a decent prospect. Not much at Musselburgh as the racing quality is poor. One that might find himself out of this class in the near future is the drifting METRIC. Mark Winn claims his 3lb again and he’s been pushed up 6lbs for his 1/2 length win at Leicester which is harsh in my opinion but is telling as to how easily he won by despite the difference. Looked to have plenty in the tank doing his best work at the line. Very low quality race this but that doesn’t mean something could pop out the pack so sensible bets here as we wait for better opportunities in the week. LONGSHOTS - 0.5 EW. 3.05 NEWBURY - OVERNIGHT OATS 12/1 - 4 paid 3.40 NEWBURY - ISLAND BANDIT 8/1 - 4 paid sky 4.00 RIPON - ABATE 13/2 - 4 paid sky 4.30 RIPON SATIN SNAKE 20/1 - 4 paid sky We will try a few longshots. These are what I think are overpriced and have good chances today. SATIN SNAKE has won at this level so I think 20/1 is big if he can bounce back to form. OVERNIGHT OATS might be out of his depth here but we will pay our money and find out if thats the case the hard way as I think he might improve and 12/1 is big. ISLAND BANDIT is the tentative pick in the 3.40 NEWBURY which is probably the most competitive race of the day. CLASSIC has drifted to 9/4 and the one to beat but ISLAND BANDIT arrives on the back of a nice win and good value with 4 places paid. TOTAL POINTS SUGGESTED 4
TUESDAY ✅️ VIP STE - Ste has done these for us today. Can either do 1 point wins or a Yankee/lucky 15 whatever floats your boat ⛴️ Sean Bowen is on another level this year he's got a 28% strike rate with a 44% strike rate on favourites and he's got some decent rides today all with chances, probably have an off day with my luck at the minute or he'll win on the 16/1 shot I've not included but hopefully he can pick up a couple of winners and leave us in profit by the end of the day✅️ 1715 RESERVE TANK 9/4 MR MAFIA is one I always follow but so is TANK and although he's probably the least likely out the two to follow up with his inconsistent form I think he's worth sticking with here although he is my least favorite out the four posted, 0-2 over the distance and its his first visit here but you can't ignore how well handicapped he is having won off a much higher mark in grade 2 company for the Tizzards back in his early days and he's only 3lb higher for his last win over 2m 3f with the one behind winning since. Had a Visor on there which seemed to help and I'm hoping the additon of the cheekpieces for the first time can have a similar effect here with Carlo Du Berlais looking the main danger. 1745 GARIUS 7/2 Do have the odds on winterwatch to beat here who returns to hurdles having been running on the flat but GARIUS I think is a decent enough price to take that one on and the yard are absolutely flying at the minute, finished in the top 3 in all but one of his 9 runs on the flat for Hannons yard winning once and he's kept up that consistency switched to hurdles since joining this yard getting off the mark at the fifth attempt over course & distance at 5/6 fav, can probably write off his last run when tackling heavy ground at Cartmel up in class & he's on the same mark for his win here two starts ago, conditions more in his favour here back down in class and he could easily bounce back. 1855 KAZZONTHERAZZ 3/1 Course winner KAZZONTHERAZZ has been getting well backed this morning for another yard who are in good form and she could have a decent chance if building on that latest effort when fourth of five at Uttoxeter back from a 265 day break, jumped sound there travelling well and although she faded late on I don't think she was given a hard time at the finish and the winner who won by 5 lengths was on the hatrick with the runner up in that filling the same position twice since in higher classes, think she's either been unlucky or bumped into one on her starts last year and this test looks a decent race for her to pick up a third career win. 1955 JUDGE EARL 9/2 Most in the field have pretty decent form behind them and I follow all three at the top of the market which I think you can make strong cases for but JUDGE EARL is the one I'm siding with here who switches back to hurdles, was a 5 time winner over fences last year and he's been back in the same form recently winning two of his last 3 starts finishing second in his latest, he's 20lb lower than that latest chase effort back over hurdles and he's 3lb lower than for his last hurdle win way back in 2019 when a comfortable winner over much further than this in class 4 company, 11 years old now so he's the old boy in the field but he clearly likes it here having won 3 times and placing once in 7 with two of them wins coming over CD and his mark here is hard to ignore, tough race this one but if he's in the same mood as his recent starts then I'd expect him to go close. Goodluck if your following & I've personally just gone for a win Yankee on them today. Total points suggested 4
VIP WEDNESDAY Posted LORD TORRANGA - 0.5 EW last night 2.10 Catterick now backed into 7/1. Few more for today but again, nothing here which I’m massively confident with. Just loads of poor quality racing across the board today and not a day to be having big bets in my opinion. Main bet - 1 point wins 3.30 MUSSELBURGH - BAEZ 9/4 - 1 point win 5.30 LINGFIELD - ORIENTAL SPIRIT 15/8 - 1 point win BAEZ won for us at York by less than half a length in distance but the win was more comfortable then the distance suggests. He’s proven at this level and the other horses will need to find more to beat BAEZ who has posted form figures of 323211 since joining Jim Goldie. The rest in the race have plenty to prove GLASSES UP, the outsider of the race goes well here but flopped as fav in a class 6 LTO. YORKINDNESS is now the main danger and is in good form but might struggle with a 5lb penalty and giving nearly half a stone in weight to rival BAEZ. With Two auld pals out I think BAEZ can complete the hat trick. I’ve been sent ORIENTAL SPIRIT today and told it wins on return to the all weather with Oisin Murphy booked but we have heard it all before he still has a job to do in a tough race here. Small bets only. LONGSHOTS - 0.5 EW 4.00 MUSSELBURGH - SPARKLE IN HIS EYE 7/1 - 4 paid 3.22 LINGFIELD - KODI NOIR 13/2- 3 paid The fav BELO HORIZONTE is going ot be very hard to beat but I think Alice Haynes charge is the one that can stick it to him at a decent price. 1lb down after last month's 3rd at Wolves, only 2 lengths behind the winner. Already 10lbs in favour of the favourite here, Howarths 5lb claim gives us 15lbs to play with against a horse only 4lbs officially higher. Worth attempting here. Hopefully SPARKLE IN HIS EYE can do a job here with a plumb draw despite a 4lb rise after last weeks run where he beat the favourite with a well timed run. He did just enough and will need to find even more today but this race looks wide open with no obvious winner. GOOD LUCK ALL TOTAL POINTS SUGGESTED 3.5
VIP Morning all one here at Bath from Ste to get us started. Not going to many from me by the looks of it! 1706 bath- EYE OF THE WATER 3/1 - 1 point win Been following this one most of the year now and he got up to win for us 2 starts back at 8/1 having been well backed on his two starts before without winning and the runner up there won nto beaten are selection who finished runner up, 1lb lower after that effort putting him just 3lb higher than for his latest win and Keniry keeps the ride having been on board the last twice, course record is also a positive with him winning twice and placing four times from 8 visits seven of those over course and distance and the grounds not an issue, still on a decent enough mark to win and this race doesn't look the strongest. I've done a small double with this and Velvet Rush but that's gone odds on so haven't bothered tipping it.
1550 Thirsk- MOUNT ATHOS 11/4 - 1 point win One from ste Won two of his first four career starts last year picking up a course & distance win in class 5 company before stepping up into a class two to win at kempton going off favourite in both, started this year as he ended the last with a win upped to class 2 company at 8/11 fav before returning here to finish runner up over CD in April with the winner of that (spycatcher) going on to win a group 2 in France before finishing runner up there in a group 1 a month later where he went off at 13/8 fav, had wind surgery after that before racing in group company for the first time where he went no better than 5th although two in that have since won in group company and his latest 8th place finish in listed company has also bought out a group winner so the form stacks up reasonably well and he's back down into class 2 company here with a CD win to his name & he's 1lb lower his latest effort here when runner up to a subsequent group 2 winner in April, most in the field I think have hit there ceiling and I just think Athos is better than the rest with more to come having only had 8 starts & tudhope who rides is in decent form and rode this one on debut when second at Doncaster, needs to bounce back but this looks a good race to do it for the yards only runner on the card.
VIP Carlisle Morning guys Aidan and Ste will be covering todays tips for me as it’s my partners birthday but I will be back tomorrow for Saturday ✅ If I get time later I will put some up but I’m currently on way to town to buy her presents ❌ 2.00 - THAKI 14/1 (0.5 point EW) This 6yo certainly isn’t an easy one to predict but he did have a tough task in the Silver Trophy last time out at Ripon. Was successful at Ayr on his penultimate start and this drop in grade will certainly help as well so still looks feasibly treated judging by that success at Ayr and has each way claims. 2.30 - MINI MAGNA 7/4 (1 point win) Has picked up two victories in a row at bath with having to defy a penalty on the latest success. Been hit with another penalty today for his nursery debut but he posted a solid RPR last time so could still have more to come yet and looks the one to beat bidding for a hat trick. Good luck all
VIP THIRSK Two more Aidan has done for us today if your not already please make sure you following the Irish group here https://t.me/ kufFTxJNhc03Y2Jk ☘️ 3.20 - GULLIVER 10/1 (0.5 point EW) Taking a slight chance with this one as he’s ageing and forms dipped massively. He’s now 27 starts since his last success which came at York in a Class 2 in October 2020 from a mark of 102. Now running in a Class 3 from a mark of 84 has to be respected and holds each way claims. 4.20 - STARSHOT 16/1 (0.5 point EW) Another that I’m taking a slight chance on and hoping for improvement but this eight race maiden ran into a bit of trouble last time at Ripon before finishing well from a reduced mark and going close that was at a big price and any further improvement should see him go close again here from only a 2lb higher mark.
