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Prediction League How many points will we get?

Discussion in 'Watford' started by yorkshirehornet, Dec 29, 2019.

  1. yorkshirehornet

    yorkshirehornet Well-Known Member

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    How many points are needed to avoid relegation? Is it forty, or less, this season?
    How many do you think we will get?
    Will it be enough?
    A chance here to look ahead and tally up your points total for the Horns.
    Currently we have 16 points.

    Here are the matches ahead:

    Watford FC - Wolverhampton Wanderers

    AFC Bournemouth - Watford FC

    Watford FC - Tottenham Hotspur

    Aston Villa - Watford FC

    Watford FC - Everton

    Brighton & Hove Albion FC - Watford FC

    Manchester United - Watford FC

    Watford FC - Liverpool

    Crystal Palace - Watford FC

    Watford FC - Leicester City

    Burnley FC - Watford FC

    Watford FC - Southampton

    Chelsea - Watford FC

    Watford FC - Norwich City

    Watford FC - Newcastle United

    West Ham United - Watford FC

    Watford FC - Manchester City

    Arsenal - Watford FC

    Tally up your number and post below... Lets hope the winning total keeps us up.

    Please post your predictions by 11.30 am January 12th.....

    COYH!!
     
    #1
  2. rudebwoy

    rudebwoy Well-Known Member

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    31 points plus 16 , comfy 47 .......
     
    #2
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  3. Hornet-Fez

    Hornet-Fez Well-Known Member

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    22+16= a nervy 38.
     
    #3
  4. yorkshirehornet

    yorkshirehornet Well-Known Member

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    I am getting 21+16.... 37

    Hope i am wrong
     
    #4
  5. yorkshirehornet

    yorkshirehornet Well-Known Member

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    How many may we need this year ? Screenshot_2019-12-29 Do Premier League teams really need 40 points to avoid relegation .png
     
    #5
  6. Flittonhorn

    Flittonhorn Well-Known Member

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    So 37 or above and we could consider ourselves unlucky to go down. 21 points then = 7 wins, do able I would have thought if we can continue as we have since NP arrived performance/result wise.
     
    #6
  7. Chris 13

    Chris 13 Well-Known Member

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  8. colognehornet

    colognehornet Well-Known Member

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  9. duggie2000

    duggie2000 Well-Known Member

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    27 + 16 but a potential 36 + 16 if we can maintain the last four games attitude and commitment
    It is in our own hands
     
    #9
  10. brian_66_usa

    brian_66_usa Well-Known Member

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    IF (big if ) at home we lose agaist all of the current top 7 sides we still have to play, and win the rest =12 points at home. Then away lose to any of the current top 9 sides and beat every side currently below 9th = 18 points so 30 + 16 =46 .now the odds of me getting 18 matches right must be over 250,000 to 1 so thats not going to happen .Im hoping that Wet Spam or Bournemouth go on a bad run and we get 38 points because at present the teams at the bottom have about 1/2 the points normaly needed so it could be a high number needed to stay up
     
    #10

  11. yorkshirehornet

    yorkshirehornet Well-Known Member

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    I am not a mathematics expert.. But agree that as the point level at the bottom is lower we may need more than 36 and more like 39+ points..
    Can any mathematical person cast a light on this logic?
     
    #11
  12. brian_66_usa

    brian_66_usa Well-Known Member

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    Its not maths, The problem is most years you have 1 or 2 are left behind so its just the last place that needs filling but thats not the case this year as we have closed the gap a bit and on there day Norwich and Villa are picking up points and the rest are already on 19+ mark which is more that 1/2 that is needed in most years
     
    #12
    Last edited: Dec 30, 2019
  13. Scullion

    Scullion Well-Known Member

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    18+19 in the bag = 37 oh dear
     
    #13
  14. Chris 13

    Chris 13 Well-Known Member

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    To get 40 points we need 1.235 per game from now. Seems doable to me! Still I think 38 and that will be enough.
     
    #14
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  15. Hornet-Fez

    Hornet-Fez Well-Known Member

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    After yesterday we're 2 points better off than my prediction... and now it's a moving target.
     
    #15
  16. duggie2000

    duggie2000 Well-Known Member

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    One game at a time and three points at a time, slowly, slowly catchee safety
    The FA cup could even be a bonus
     
    #16

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