Cheltenham Preview Evening

I think this is a good idea. There is rarely anything new to learn from analysis of the graded and championship races

I love the handicaps at Cheltenham and have some victims picked out already. They've changed considerably in recent years though in that you can no longer just focus on the the bottom 10 in the weights to find the lurker. Last year showed that you need a bloody decent animal to win a Cheltenham festival handicap these days. Just look at last year's results - Un Temps Pour Tout, Presenting Percy, Arctic Fire, Supasundae and Road to Respect. Good idea to focus on these and kudos to anyone who successfully unpicks a few of the puzzles.

 

A couple of Timeform articles on the handicaps

https://www.timeform.com/horse-racing/features/lynch/handicap-homework-grounds-for-optimism-132018

https://www.timeform.com/horse-raci...estival-handicaps-timefigures-preview--132018

 

They mention a few of mine so clearly know what they're talking about

 

I've had a read, thanks for that.in my mind both can be discarded because you won't see any ground improvement before the festival.although the track drains well there's loads of snow about and they're talking about floods when all the snow melts in the hills and there is rain forecast this week.

 

Oh bugger. I've placed a comp bet in the County Hurdle on the strength of that

 

Been away on holiday lads.

I'm taking it there's enough interest in this so we'll crack on.

 

Day One:
Ultima Chase
NH Chase
Close Brothers Chase -Wardy

Day Two:
Coral Cup - Chan
Glenfarclas
Fred Winter - Stick

Day Three:
Pertemps
Brown Advisory
Kim Muir

Day Four:
County - Wooly
Martin Pipe - Bob
Grand Annual


If you fancy one of these then chirp up and we'll take it off the list.

Ping your write up to me before Sunday night 8pm and i'll put it together.

 

Fred Winter please

 

County for me please

 

I'll take the close brothers

 

I think on the excellent 'Naps/EW/Lay' thread I pretty much summed up everything I wanted to say so I’ll leave it to others this time around.

Incidentally, the 14’s re Movewiththetimes in the ‘lucky last’ on the opening day has all gone and only quotes of 8/1 remain – regular readers plunge perhaps?!? Can see him being even shorter at ‘tapes up’ time as well.

 

That was because of the Final Furlong Podcast Barney. They had Harry Derham on and he tipped it up.

 

Harry Derham or me?!? Who was it who moved the market?!? I think we all know the answer to that one don’t we regular readers.

 

I'm happy to switch races with Barney already providing a good write up of a horse i was quite likely to pick anyway?

Edit - If so stick me down for the Ultima

 

Cheat - i gave you the winner of that over a month ago when it was 25-1!!

 

It wont be the selection...although its stablemate might......

 

Looking forward to reading this.Remember lads the last time a favourite one a hcapp race at the festival was four years ago so stay away from the hotpots!!

 

You having a go Ste? Lots of races to go round.

 

I don't have much time this year to study the form Bob but cheers for the offer.

 

Am looking forward to reading this when it's all up and done. Great idea Bob