The abridged version for Swanny:
Newmarket 4:45
FLY AT DAWN 
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I have convinced myself that the winner of the opener at HQ will be one of the fancied runners near the bottom of the card. The two William Haggas runners,
Symposium and
Gravity Flow both take the step up from handicap company, as does Mick Channon’s
Kassia and I think they all have live chances; however,
Mise En Rose went down narrowly in a Group 3 last time and may still have enough in hand on the improvers to win today.
Having just failed to land the Royal Lodge over course and distance,
The Anvil drops slightly in class in the Autumn Stakes and has good prospects of losing his maiden tag. Many will be watching
Lockheed’s efforts closely because he was third in the National Stakes behind the Dewhurst favourite but he was also beaten in a Group 3 before. I will be interested to see if there is any market support for the two unexposed maiden winners
Zainhom and
Solomon’s Bay but otherwise this looks a notebook race.
The betting for the Dewhurst is a total reflection of how the market is dictated by trainers and jockey bookings. If this were a handicap,
Churchill would not be the top weight, but being a Ballydoyle blueblood he is odds on favourite. Reasonable to presume that
Lancaster Bomber is here to make sure there is no hanging around but there is plenty to like about three or four of these colts, so whoever wins there should be races for all of them to win next term. I am not expecting any of these to win by a substantial margin but it would not be the first time I was wrong!
I am sure that the Zetland Stakes used to be later in the year (end of October?) but it is always fascinating to see the staying two year olds going over ten furlongs.
Cunco has to be the Gosden second string but he is no forlorn hope although Frankie favours the filly
Coronet.
Wings of Eagles looks an interesting Ballydoyle contender but the two that interest me most are
Defoe, runner up at Epsom where he may not have handled the track, and
FLY AT DAWN, unbeaten on turf and winner of a decent HQ nursery last time.
The closing Darley Stakes looks like a good opportunity for very-late seasonal debutant
Johannes Vermeer, as on form this looks a match between him and
Custom Cut, who has failed to win all season. I would back the Ballydoyle colt but all his top juvenile form is on easier ground.
Ancient History is a curious choice of runner for Andre Fabre but would be preferred to
Abdon, whose sole success this year was a five-runner handicap.
. I am very keen to see the Twister's French import El Terremoto who is out of an American mare and sees goodish ground for the first time.
