Daily Racing Thread Friday 7th. Oct. 2016

[SwanHills]

Astonished to find the going reported as Good to Firm at HQ in the second week of October.
Even more astonished to see it reported at York as it is virtually always soft at the Rockingham meeting.

Trouble is that there is hardly any fast ground form to go on...

In the opening Cornwallis Stakes, Mrs Danvers is unbeaten and John Portman’s grey filly won the Super Sprint and a Listed race at Newbury, receives 6lb or more from the top three and may have most to fear from Ballydoyle visitor Courage Under Fire. She ought to win just for the name – Mrs Danvers out of Rebecca de Winter?

The Oh So Sharp Stakes appears to be a choice between the unexposed types or the previous pattern race form. Miss Infinity and Glitter Girl were both close up in the Rockfel Stakes over course and distance; and Grecian Light was a respectable third in a Group 3 at The Curragh but Andre Fabre has not brought Double Lady here just for the scenery.

The Fillies’ Mile threw up a Classic winner last year but the main question is going to surround Sobetsu: is she as good as her ten length course and distance win last time? She was previously beaten by Spatial, whilst the strongest form lines appear to belong to Moyglare second and third Hydrangea and Rhododendron (of which Ryan Moore has chosen the latter) and May Hill winner Rich Legacy. This may well come down to the potential battle for the lead between the two known front-runners, Hydrangea and Spatial. For that reason I will give it a miss.

The handicap at 3:45 looks very competitive and the obvious one to catch the eye is Saunter, facile winner of an ordinary maiden race and subsequent winner of a valuable handicap from the front, so he is clearly progressing rapidly and steps up in trip here. Can SCARLET DRAGON and Hollie Doyle beat him in receipt of just 1lb? Danehill Kodiac now finds himself 4lbs better off with New Caledonia for his Ascot defeat and they should be evenly matched. Lower down the handicap, Banish and Josephine Gordon have a penalty for winning a polytrack handicap whilst Kaatskill Nap won a four-runner affair at Yarmouth. If they have figured out why Sixties Groove hung left at Goodwood last time (track?), Silvestre De Sousa’s mount looks on a handy mark if not too race rusty.

It is absolute laziness on my part, I do not dispute that, and a disinclination to read long essays, but I often have no idea who you are tipping, if you have had a bet, etc., etc. If you fancy one, just tip the bloody thing, and be done with it............

Only kidding old chap, but there is a lot we can read already in the sporting press, you know?

 

[SimonJ]

That was a decent curtain opener for Newmarket, great result for Mrs Danvers.

 

[SimonJ]

Quite like Grecian Light in this 2.05.
I wonder if the form for that horse could just prove that little bit better than the others, and Godolphin have started to bang in the winners.

 

[OddDog]

Old Guard makes his chase debut in the 2.30 at Newton Abbot. Last season's Greatwood Hurdle winner went on to land the International Hurdle from Sempre Medici and Hargam before finishing 12 lengths 4th to Faugheen in the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton. That little lot saw him rated 157 over hurdles and he is certainly one of the more interesting recruits to the novice chase ranks this season.

Decidedly inauspicious start ....................... "Tracked leader, sprawled on landing rider lost iron and pulled up after 1st"

 

[Bostonbob]

22/1 Rocking Rudolph - Newcastle 9.10

 

[Grecian Mick]

First class racing tomorrow at Newmarket (could be argued the best, on a Friday, in recent times outside of a major Festival in fact) but if my regular readers will allow me I’ll instead take them ‘oooooooooooooooooooop’ to Newcastle.

LUGANO (5.40 Newcastle) – one must say that this one absolutes reeks of a ‘Prescott plot’ and I wouldn’t be at all concerned that Lugano makes his seasonal bow here as the old rogue certainly knows how to get one ready without a ‘prep’. Was beaten 11.5, 11.25 and 12 lengths in 3 maiden events last term and that has earned the old boy a perch of just 60 which I would expect his trainer to exploit to the full. The eye catching thing is that on his handicap bow Lugano is stepped up to 12.5 furlongs and expect the son of Galileo to excel over this distance. Was a very expensive yearling purchase back in 2014 (just over a quarter of a million pounds) and is certainly a well bred type as his dam was a dual Listed scorer and his siblings include Swiss Diva (dual Group winner), Swiss Spirit (Group winner) and the Frankel 2YO Swiss Storm who created an enormous impression when winning over 7 furlongs at Newbury recently and is now quoted for both the 2017 2,000 Guineas and Derby. Lugano’s opponents look extremely exposed and this most deffo is not the greatest race ever run. Would therefore expect him to start his season with a win. No prices, at the time of writing, but Sporting Life are forecasting 7/2.

Good luck, team.

Good call SBC, took forever to get going but flying come the end to nab it right on the line.

 

[rudebwoy]

nice call barney -Hugo Palmer also has one up in the north but it is too short so I'll just watch it win -

 

[MCK1]

First class racing tomorrow at Newmarket (could be argued the best, on a Friday, in recent times outside of a major Festival in fact) but if my regular readers will allow me I’ll instead take them ‘oooooooooooooooooooop’ to Newcastle.

LUGANO (5.40 Newcastle) – one must say that this one absolutes reeks of a ‘Prescott plot’ and I wouldn’t be at all concerned that Lugano makes his seasonal bow here as the old rogue certainly knows how to get one ready without a ‘prep’. Was beaten 11.5, 11.25 and 12 lengths in 3 maiden events last term and that has earned the old boy a perch of just 60 which I would expect his trainer to exploit to the full. The eye catching thing is that on his handicap bow Lugano is stepped up to 12.5 furlongs and expect the son of Galileo to excel over this distance. Was a very expensive yearling purchase back in 2014 (just over a quarter of a million pounds) and is certainly a well bred type as his dam was a dual Listed scorer and his siblings include Swiss Diva (dual Group winner), Swiss Spirit (Group winner) and the Frankel 2YO Swiss Storm who created an enormous impression when winning over 7 furlongs at Newbury recently and is now quoted for both the 2017 2,000 Guineas and Derby. Lugano’s opponents look extremely exposed and this most deffo is not the greatest race ever run. Would therefore expect him to start his season with a win. No prices, at the time of writing, but Sporting Life are forecasting 7/2.

Good luck, team.

All Hail Sir Barney - Great spot your Lordship

 

[mick the jolly sailor]

Good shout Sir Barnstable!!
Done your fancy in a double with Tilly Trotter at Dundalk.....thought I'd dome my dough....but hey Presto....someone on the rails told Lugano that Barneys dosh was down...and he flew!!!!

Cheers mate!

 

[rudebwoy]

nice call barney -Hugo Palmer also has one up in the north but it is too short so I'll just watch it win -

Or not --not worth odds on betting even if they win-the risk for return is silly

 

[Ekbalco99]

All Hail Sir Barney - Great spot your Lordship

Paid for my weekend -cheers SBC !!! But my area was twitching ?!!

 

[QuarterMoonII]

It is absolute laziness on my part, I do not dispute that, and a disinclination to read long essays, but I often have no idea who you are tipping, if you have had a bet, etc., etc. If you fancy one, just tip the bloody thing, and be done with it............

Swanny, apologies for the literal diarrhoea, I only do the verbal sort in person.

I did explain (ages ago) that the ones in BOLD CAPITALS are the ones I have backed (or am backing) whilst the ones just with bold names are other runners or horses relevant to the discussion. Sometimes I will put one in bold but state that I might back it if the price is right.

Fortuitously for me today, my sole bet won whilst the three short-priced ones that I left alone only produced one 2/1 winner – so I would only have broken even if I had done all three.

Once the flat season is over, you won’t find me on here very often, unless someone gives me some info on a NH plodder that I want to pass on; or something noteworthy happens – like AP McCoy tipping consecutive winners to William Hill punters.