Daily Racing Thread Friday 17th. April 2015

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3.25 Newbury Capel Path 6/1 NB

This Sir Micheal Stoute trained horse had a slow start to his career as a 2yo, but pulled off a fairly decent maiden victory in his 3rd start at Newcastle winning by 4 lengths on good to firm going. The 2nd in that race went on and bolted up next time out by 3 and a half, so I fancy the form is pretty strong. He has a nice pedigree, from Street Cry and a half brother to a group 2 winner. So I'm expecting a lot more from him at 3. And with Ryan Moore in the saddle there isn't a better pilot for the job. So I'm hopeful he can do the business :biggrin:

The 3rd, 4th, 5th, 7th and 8th of 8 runners have all been tailed off since, the 6th hasnt run and 2nd benefited from its only danger being carried off the track when winning next time, so I fancy the form isnt that strong at all. That said, Capel Path is a nice prospect who had previously ran well in 2 decent maidens, he should have a good chance today if fit enough. He apparently got the better of Stoute's handicap winner yesterday in a recent gallop as well which looks a plus.
 
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305 Ayr

Tap Night

Ran in the race last year off of 145 and was 4th, returns this year off 128 and for me stink of a Mcmanus handicap blot that has been saved for Lucindas local track and the money is now coming!

Doubled up with Demora at 610 Bath, Lightning quick form the gates they wont see which way this one goes :)
 
Anyone think that Newmarket was desperately disappointing this week?

Newbury has some interesting looking maidens and other races so I'll have a small play.

2.50 Star Of Seville 9/2 showed promise with a debut 3rd at Leicester over 7f (2nd won since and winner entered up in the 2000 Guineas), before demolishing rivals at Doncaster over 1m at the end of the season. Two things were clear- this is a horse who is a real galloper and has stamina a plenty, and the step up from 7f to 1m in softer conditions brought out that strength to the tune of a 6L victory over DREAMLIKE. Dreamlike has won a Lingfield maiden since, beating a horse who has won a Chelmsford maiden since. There were some well bred sorts in behind Star Of Seville at Doncaster and with the decent looking form of the 2nd, I get the impression that the 3rd-8th placed horses might also add depth to that form in time.

The step up in trip to 10f is a masive positive, as is a galloping Newbury track. The yard won this with Western Hymn last year and hopefully Star Of Seville can add his name to the Gosden winners roster.

5.30 Forever Popular 3/1 sees Richard Hughes booked for debut and the short price and double Group1 entry suggests that this might be a nice one. The sister to Midday (SHOAL) should ensure prices remain fair in the book but as Stoute tends to bring them on slowly, and she lacks any big entries, you would think today is about learning for her so the eyecatching booking of Hughes looks like Haggas unleashing a smart type.

Haggas last 4 runners form is 2211, so hopefully he is due to start the season well.

Of the rest, I thought most intriguing was Thaqaffa (2.20) for Marcus Tregoning, as he seems quite happy with his bunch of 2 year olds this season, with this ones resale price almost twice the amount, and liked Hughie Morrisons Star Rider (1.50), as we have that interesting mix of Cape Cross and Sadlers Wells bloodline (Cape Cross sire out of a Galileo (son of Sadlers Wells & Urban Sea) mare. There was a horse once called Sea The Stars who was decent, who had a similar bloodline, right?!

One in, one to go <cracker>
 
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Stoichkov looks likely to run well in Dundalk ' s 6:05. He's 16/1 atm. Running over further than 5f recently it looks as though he will try bounce out and make all this evening. Looks a good each way to me.
 
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well done you Toppy --hope your double comes up !!

Cheers pal, fingers crossed.

You boys got any solid thoughts on the classics as of yet? Can't make my mind up on the Guineas other than not a big fan of Gleneagles. Like Sir Isaac Newton as a Derby prospect but want to see him run again, very pleased to see Zawraq looking like a serious animal.
 
cheers STH--funny you put stoichkov up, caught my eye earlier , but dismissed it due to too much racing going on , so will have a dabble ....by the way 6 55 Southwell sees Yes Daddy return to the scene of his last win ....surely robert stephens will have him primed ...
The classics --no thoughts yet --not often do i feel strongly about such early season flat races --
 
I have a nice double of yasmeen going onto knightly escapade in the 5.00... any ideas of a saver to have? Laying isn't an option
 
STH --7f/8f winner going over a sprint trip--you sure they arent just giving him a blow ? --

I can't be certain rudebwoy, I know he likes to bounce out and go from the front and maybe they feel tonight he can bounce and get an unassailable lead.

I'd be on Zawraq Toppy, looked nice at the weekend and I was keen on him before that too. But on the other hand O'Brien will have his charges in better form by then. I haven't given too much of a look into it yet and could well change my mind come race time though.
 
sorry Tward --wouldnt want to try and steer you in that race --who's turn is it today ?--money for Karl Burke and martin harley's nag--maiden but running in a weaker race,seasonal return -burke's often run well fresh --take your chance mate !!
 
Is Ryan Moore the most overhyped/ overrated jockey going? Yet Again, Ooty Hill, Multilingual and Shoal all well beaten not to mention John F Kennedy.

There were some decent performances at Newbury today though including Star Of Seville in the condition stakes and Yasmeen, for John Gosden, who I really liked today.

I wonder if Newbury have ever consider adding the Lockinge (and Swettenham Fillies Trial) meeting to this Greenham meeting? It would certainly enhance the meeting.