Festival ew thieves

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floridaspearl

floridaspearl

Well-Known Member
Feb 19, 2013
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one more before I go.
This thread is for outsiders. We've heard about the fancied horses, now I want to hear about the bigger prices, and please no ante post. I'll start. Duraven Storm in the arkle 33s.
 
Smashing(arkle),devilment(triumph) jetstream jack(bumper) & taglietelle(coral cup),all best price 25/1 have ew claims.sam winner could make the frame in the gold cup a 33s.i think cole harden is a cracking ew bet at 20/1 in a wide open word hurdle.
 
I also have Carlingli but at 100-1 and at same price for the Neptune should he swerve the spud race.

And "doing a Wooley" - Un Atout, wherever he turns up
 
woolcombe-folly007 said:
GEVERY CHAMBERTIN what ever race he goes in this is year so much promise never delivered
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I remember doing a silly little accumulator a couple of years ago on God Cup day just for a bit of interest I just put 50p on 6 horses and thought my luck was in when one of my horse won a race that it was destined to lose until the female jockey on the front horse got rid of her on the run in (names escape me). I thought it was going to be my day. It came down to the last leg in which I'd backed Gevrey Chambertin at 6/1 in the Martin Pipe race. The horse was David Pipes only runner in the race and had been backed into an SP of 9/4 so things were looking good. However it was not to be and the horse pulled up without even really giving me a run for my money and I missed out on just shy of £900 from my measly 50p stake! I feel like the horse owes me so I will be keeping an eye on where it runs at Cheltenham and hopefully it can make amends
 
You've certainly nailed your colours to the mast re this one Dreeves :)

I have looked at it, and to be honest, I don't see how it can turn over the form with VV and 3K from it's last run. I'll grant you 40-1 is a nice ew price, but only if it does place, and with UDS in this field it wouldn't be for me. But good luck anyway <ok>
 
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The Arkle is a good race to bet EW in, the bookies never like laying bets EW against short price favourites. Particularly when they all go 1/4 the odds for Cheltenham. You can bet your life the bookies on course won't be going 1/4. Most of them usually offer 1/6 and 1/7 the odds when a favourite is so short.

I've had many accounts shut over the years for betting EW against short price favourites :biggrin:
 
Always good when there are a few in the day. Doubling up 2nd favs in the Arkle & Mares race is a quick way to get accounts closed
 
Cheers Reebs.

I just think 40/1 is insulting to a horse who won the Haldon Gold Cup back in November, beating Cue Card and Balder Success. Also won a Grade 1 Novice at Punchy last year and if you look at those runs, it appears he prefers the ground on the firmer side of good as the going was "Good to soft, good in places" which is what tomorrow's ground will be.

Also should be noted that he has a very good record after returning from a break of over 8 weeks - UR (hampered and unseated when travelling well - followed up 3 weeks later) 1, 1. Furthermore, the two races he contested after the HGC this season were run on much slower going. Coupled with them coming in quick succession, I just think the yard probably got a little greedy after his reappearance.

After the HGC this one was being talked up as Champion Chase candidate. I know I have probably made plenty of excuses for him and been biased when assessing the form in order to shape my argument, but have a look for yourself and let me know what you think.

I agree that UDS has been mightily impressive but this is a race where favourites have a poor record - only 4 of the last 23 have prevailed. I have to also note that only 1 front runner has been successful since 1980. The horse does seem a little special and might well buck those trends but 4/7 is no sort of price.

Winner of the Grade 1 Novice at Punchy and Grade 1 HGC against its seniors, with a similar gap between races and similar going, for me, the stars are aligning and 40/1 on GOD'S OWN is an eway bet to nothing for me :emoticon-0148-yes:
 
cityhull said:
Always good when there are a few in the day. Doubling up 2nd favs in the Arkle & Mares race is a quick way to get accounts closed
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You can stick the Champion Hurdle in aswell I reckon, and do cross doubles or even a treble. The CH looks just as appealing from an EW point of view, as the favourites still pretty short there and there's only 8 runners.

Funnily enough I think all those favourites will win, but it's competitive racing so you never know :biggrin:
 
King Shergar said:
The Arkle is a good race to bet EW in, the bookies never like laying bets EW against short price favourites. Particularly when they all go 1/4 the odds for Cheltenham. You can bet your life the bookies on course won't be going 1/4. Most of them usually offer 1/6 and 1/7 the odds when a favourite is so short.

I've had many accounts shut over the years for betting EW against short price favourites :biggrin:
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They can't do this anymore, standard place terms on all course betting now.

My outsider is Broadway Buffalo 20/1 in the last tomorrow.
 
The supreme isn't too bad either. I agree that I think the 3 shorties will win but think Douvan could get turned over
 
cityhull said:
The supreme isn't too bad either. I agree that I think the 3 shorties will win but think Douvan could get turned over
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I was looking at the Supreme for it aswell, but the amount of runners would concern me slightly. I'm not sure it's as easy a race as the other 3 to predict the placed horses.
 
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