predictions for our 2014/5 final pts total

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brian_66_usa

Well-Known Member
Mar 9, 2013
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arlesey beds soon usa
we are getting to the last 1/3 of the season with 53 pts from 30 games if we carried that form on it would give us anther 28 pts that will be 3rd of 4th to get into the top 2 then 89 in most year would do it but with the top 3 all going well at the moment then it could even be 90 + . 6th place or above 75 pts and for us thats only anther 22 from 16 games we should be nailed on for that

so my prediction is 10 win 2 draw 4 lose 32 pts + 53 total 85 and 4th place
 
I tend to always look at our fixture lists and think that we can win them all - sad, I know. :emoticon-0101-sadsm

But, looking again, I suspect that we will lose two, possibly three - and can win the rest. That would give us at least 92 points - and no idea at all where that would put us

Strangely, the last time I thought along those lines, we were in the Premiership, so I'm obviously not very good at this...
 
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Bolton's Boots said:
I tend to always look at our fixture lists and think that we can win them all - sad, I know. :emoticon-0101-sadsm

But, looking again, I suspect that we will lose two, possibly three - and can win the rest. That would give us at least 92 points - and no idea at all where that would put us

Strangely, the last time I thought along those lines, we were in the Premiership, so I'm obviously not very good at this...
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i hope you are getting better 92 pts in 13 of the last 14 years that would be 2ond at least
 
Bloother said:
Pivotal point in the whole season for me is Ipswich, Derby and Boro', one after the other, starting at the end of March. Our form against top 6 teams is poor, so a decent return from these games could see us knocking on the automatic door.
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Those were the three I thought we'd struggle with too. As always, Easter will sort the men from the boys...
 
The stats don't lie in this case.
If we are to get autos then we are indeed going to have to up our game and improve our points won against top 6 and top 12 teams.
At present 'Boro & Derby stats show they will finish in top 2. Brentford to drop out and Norwich in to top 6.
The only mitigating circumstances are 10 men v Norwich & B'mouth which skew the figures I feel.
 
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Chris 13 said:
The stats don't lie in this case.
If we are to get autos then we are indeed going to have to up our game and improve our points won against top 6 and top 12 teams.
At present 'Boro & Derby stats show they will finish in top 2. Brentford to drop out and Norwich in to top 6.
The only mitigating circumstances are 10 men v Norwich & B'mouth which skew the figures I feel.
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plus id like to think we are a stronger side than our 1st 10 games 6win 2 draw2 lose
 
with it getting so close only the current top 7 can get to the 89/90 + pts needed to get into the top2
boro have go to b'mouth, derby, norwich and us
should all of the top 7 win all there home games and get a point per away game then it would be
boro 91
derby 90
b'mouth 88
ipswich 88
watford 87
brentford 83
norwich 82

we all know that not everyone will run into good form
i think its about keeping the pressure on the top teams
 
brian_66_usa said:
with it getting so close only the current top 7 can get to the 89/90 + pts needed to get into the top2
boro have go to b'mouth, derby, norwich and us
should all of the top 7 win all there home games and get a point per away game then it would be
boro 91
derby 90
b'mouth 88
ipswich 88
watford 87
brentford 83
norwich 82

we all know that not everyone will run into good form
i think its about keeping the pressure on the top teams
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The flaw in your reasoning is when top seven teams play each other, it is not possible for the home team to get 3 points and the away team to get one. Any formulaec predictions have to take into account the top teams playing each other!
 
canary-dave said:
The flaw in your reasoning is when top seven teams play each other, it is not possible for the home team to get 3 points and the away team to get one. Any formulaec predictions have to take into account the top teams playing each other!
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you are missing the point. Boro have to play 8 away and need 8 pts they can lose against the top 4 sides win 2 and draw 2 of the remaining 4 games so it is poss
 
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aberdeenhornet said:
45 more 101 point total....
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i was going to give you a "like"but you deserve a lot more than that id loveit just loveit but to be fair any 90+ should get us in the top 2
NZHorn said:
Last day of the season - six teams on equal points with only a goal or two difference between five of them.
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thats not fair on us oldies lets settle for us just winning our last game
 
I think final position is more easy to predict than points.
Currently, Boro Derby and WFC are on same (10 game) performance - 21 points. Impressive recoveries from Derby & boro to get draws from difficult situations this week makes them the ones to beat. If we want to go up auto, we have to be ahead of 1 of them. Boro have Ipswich derby & bournemouth in 7 days in March.
Just for interest, the difficulty level (assessed by position of opposition in the table today) of the remaining 15 games for the top 6 is
(ignoring home/away, and previous results) is

Derby 201 easiest Ave positiion of oppo 13.4
bournemouth 192
norwich 191
WFC 186
Boro 183
Ipswich 159 Ave 10.6

For the final 5 games it is...

Derby 84 easiest
Bourn' 83
boro 76
WFC 76
Norwich 69
Ipswich 66

Each club has a set of 2/3 consecutive fixtures that are tough - as many have indicated for us in late March..
Boro plat 4th 3rd and 2nd in a week. Derby play 6th,1st,8th in a week.
The really fun night might be 17th March. Boro play derby, bournemouth play ipswich. (we play wigan)

Anyway, I think Derby will finish top, us or Boro 2nd, the other 3rd, and as for the rest, frankly my dear I don't give a d**n.
 
you bring up a lot of good points.i agree with you on the top 3 predictions . like you i have been thinking that bournemouth would drop away but they are still in there. the good thing as i see as long as we are still close is our last 5 games millwall A notts for A brimingham H brighton A sheff wed H we would hope for 15pts but 11 or 12 is more that possible
 
before the local derby game then the current form of the last 12 games the table would be like this

derby 91 pts
midd 87pts
norw 87pts
watf 86pts
wolv 83pts
ipsw 82pts
bour 78pts
bren 76pts
nott 69 pts
 
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