Team for Monday (Wigan - home)

Total sense Dunne has to play and anything else is daft

 

There's lies, damn lies and statistics.

I bet our odds have got longer since Derby's win.

 

I would play the same back four as in the away game. Onuoha, Dunne and Hill are important to set pieces both for and against. The midfield is the real dilemma, mostly in a positive way as we have much to chose from. But I'd play Henry as a sole defensive midfielder leaving the other four to push forward and support Charlie better than we were able to at the DW.

Zamora to take the Paul Furlong role as our hero, either late in the game or in extra time.

Here's the side I beleive is most suited to deliver our Wembley appearance, set up in a 4-1-4-1 formation.

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I'd want Austin on to take a possible penalty.

 

Surely this is wrong? My maths says Derby see their chance go up to 50 per cent and both Wigan and us stay around 25 per cent?

 

You're right there, in betting terms, derby are odds on, were about 2-1 and Wigan about 3-1.

Obviously the winner tonight will have shorter odds.

 

You're right of course, I'm not being very scientific, just noting that it's one of three rather than one of four now

 

Sir, I see that you have studies some basic statics. Your logic is is correct I believe.

 

Sorry to be a pooper. I've changed my mind. Let's stick with one in three!