Daily Thread - Monday 3rd February

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39 days to the festival - that is all you need to know.

Just started watching Deadwood over the last few days - **** me is that a brilliant series <ok> totally absorbed.
 
Triple Chocolate 10/1 Kempton 4:00 was gonna be a win but shall do it each way as the MOG seems bullish so goodluck to me!

Ain't No Surprise 2/1 Wolverhamton 4:40 back into a seller again today after a fair effort behind Basil Berry last time in a handicap, has a string of 2nd's of late, a bit like me, including an unlucky 2nd 2 starts back in similar company to today but this look's a reasonable opportunity to score.
 
Im just finishing game of thrones.fighting, drinking and lots of eh hem riding! Keeping the powder dry til chelts.
 
<laugh> not sure how you read the bullishness from that but I am pretty keen on this.

Love the form in Ireland with Roca Tumu, load of good horses in behind, I backed her last time out and was screaming at Baker turning in but he knew he was sitting on a well handicapped horse, ended up putting his hands down before the line after looking to have plenty to do. She seems to have improved as a 4yo and while im not the biggest fan of WTD, he takes 3 of the 4 pounds extra off and has 2 winners from 5 rides for Channon.

Legendary has been beaten twice off 83 recently and runs joint top weight off 85 here from the carpark, I know Cayuga won over the C+D but that was off 78, hes off 85 here and although I do like him as a horse, I think the trip is sharp enough in this company. They are both giving the filly the best part of a stone, Legendary has the draw to overcome, Cayuga the trip, and neither look particularly well handicapped.
Diplomatic loves it here and never wins by far but the handicapper might just have caught up with him and this looks a better race that the ones he has been winning.
Triple Chocolate is probably the potential joker in the pack, not much to go on and im not sure how well or not handicapped he is so I will leave him to fate, the step up to a mile should suit.
Dixies Dream appears to have hit the wall at 86 but does have George Baker and you couldnt rule him out.

Its a competitive race but im pretty confident that Conversational still has a few pounds in hand and if she gets a nice trip I think she will take a bit of beating. Shes about a 11/4 shot in my book.
 
OddDog said:
39 days to the festival - that is all you need to know.

Just started watching Deadwood over the last few days - **** me is that a brilliant series <ok> totally absorbed.
Click to expand...

Not sure what calendar you are using oddy...
 
MOG -excelled yourself, depth analysis is most persuasive -and with the stable in good order all points to a big chance -merci
 
Lads, who the **** is Willie Mullins going to run in the novice hurdles?

He could send an army of horses into each race- it is frightening!
 
Tonight's NFL bets

Under 47.5 pts 10/11 - big punt
Denver Denver ht/ft 13/8
Over 23.5pts in 2nd half

We've had a great NFL betting season so in a can't lose spot but it would be great to round the season out in a positive way. The under is a confident bet. The rest less so.
 
The Master of Glesga said:
Kempton 4.00 Conversational 5/1
Click to expand...

I really hope you are correct Masta as I had a decent bet on the horse when the prices first went up this afternoon as I backed it last time out and was impressed with the way he won, since however I have Legendary, Cryuga and Dixies Dream beating him. It'squite common for me however to be full of confidence and really happy with my bet until the moment it's struck at which time I see everything beating it.
 
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