In recent times (since 09/10) Stoke are our bogey team and Ipswich the team we love to play. We have dismal records against Chelsea, Arsenal, Man U and Spurs but thats understandable. We are marginally poorer against Bristol City but not outstandingly so. Results are from https://fcstats.com/ which unfortunately only goes back to 09/10 I asked Deepseek to write some R code that scraped the data and pop it in one dataset (code and data avaliable if you want it. R is free software). Then I did some random effects regression on outcome (W/D/L) and on Goal diff with opponent and whether we are home or away as explanatory vars. I'll stick with goal diff approach. Conservative model suggests that we are around +0.62, +0,58 and + 0.55 goals up against Burton Albion, Ipswich and Birmingham and -0.85, -0.8, -0.64 and -0.59 against Spurs, Arsenal, Man U and Chelsea. Of the teams we regularly play we are poor against Burnley, Stoke, Sheff Utd, Derby and Leeds with GD of -0.49, -0.45, -0.38, -0.31 and -0.31 respectivley. I sort of understand that with Burnley, SU and Leeds as they are PL yo-yo teams over that period and therefore relatively better than us, but am stunned by Stoke and Derby. Bristol City is pretty much bang in the middle (28th out of 68 teams weve played over that period) and we have a -0.05 gd expectation against them.
TLDR. Just use https://tigerbase.hullcity.com/, then you can check our record against teams for the whole of our existence.
Bristol 2 City 0 Unfortunately low expectations due to Slater taking up his usual observing and pointing role.
1-0 craphouse 84th minute spannered in off Mcburnie’s backside. Then gets a second bookable in the dieing embers of the game. Given a standing ovation as he crawls off.
