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Daily Racing Thread Wednesday 2nd. April 2025

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by attivo, Apr 1, 2025.

  1. attivo

    attivo Well-Known Member

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    Wednesday's Meetings

    Musselburgh
    Flat 7 Races 1:37-4:43p.m.
    Ludlow
    N/H 6 Races 2:15-4:48p.m.
    Exeter
    N/H 6 Races 2:25-5:00p.m.
    Gowran(E)
    Flat 7 Races 4:02-7:15p.m.
    Southwell(E)
    A/W 7 Races 4:55-8:30p.m.

    Racecards
    At The Races
    Sporting Life
    Racing Post


    Good Luck <ok>
     
    #1
  2. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    I posted my gibberish into Copilot -

    3:07 - 12 Runner Handicap Over 7 Furlongs

    This looks like an interesting race, with a decent pace likely thanks to Doomsday being in the mix, alongside others who can go forward. Draw bias isn’t usually much of an issue over this trip, but the pace bias could make things intriguing. Leading horses score a 2.33 IV here, with 189 wins from 731 runs, so there’s clear potential for a front-runner to capitalise. The question is, can Doomsday get loose on the lead, or will someone else take control?

    Doomsday
    A horse with CD form—he’s run 4 times over course and distance, including a win in a claimer last time he was here. He led in 3 of those runs and finished second in a claimer over CD back in 2023. That’s promising, but the step up in class could be his undoing. Just 2 wins from 27 in this grade suggests he might not be good enough.

    Ramon Di Loria
    Another runner who likes to be up there early. He’s had two CD runs where he raced prominently and placed both times. Those were decent races, too, showing he’s got the ability required for this level. He’s also got a course win to his name and a strong 25% strike rate in the class.

    Without Delay
    A course specialist with 3 wins from 10 starts here—but this trip doesn’t suit him quite as well. Just 1 win from 23 attempts over 7 furlongs tells a different story.

    Golden Valour
    If they go off too hard, he could be the one to benefit. He won over CD in October when held up, and followed that with a solid effort in defeat coming from the rear in November. That said, I think the pace will hold up this time.

    Coconut Bay
    Carrying a low weight, this runner has the potential to perform well. He can go forward, has recent form, and is proven over this trip with wins and placings in this class. Plenty of positives to suggest he could be in the mix.


    It’s shaping up to be a fascinating contest. The pace looks set to hold, so the front-runners could have the edge—but if they overdo it, the closers might just pick up the pieces. Let’s see how it unfolds!

    14/1 Coconut Bay
    16/ Doomsday
     
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  3. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    3:37 - Sprint Handicap Over 5 Furlongs

    This is one of the top races on the card, with a fast and contested pace almost guaranteed. The Lead pace angle stands out with a 2.04 IV, offering a solid advantage for horses who race prominently. With Curious Rover, Paddy’s Day, and Profitable Edge all bringing high pace scores, the early battle for position could be crucial.

    Curious Rover
    Has placed form over course and distance and has shown ability on good and good-to-firm ground. His pace score makes him one to watch if the contest heats up early.

    Paddy’s Day
    Also has placed form over CD and has run well on good and good-to-firm surfaces. A last-time-out winner, he comes into this race with a fitness edge.

    Profitable Edge
    Brings arguably the best form in the race, with his impressive win last summer on firm ground, pulling away from Le Beau Garcon. He also has CD-winning experience and has the pace to be competitive here.

    Eternal Sunshine
    A CD winner, and from a yard in fantastic form—Jim Goldie’s runners are 5 from 6 recently. Likely to be on the pace and primed for a strong showing at 8/1.

    Looking For Lynda
    Has placed form over course and distance, showing he can perform at this track. If conditions suit, he could be in the mix.

    Spartan Arrow
    The classiest horse in the field and a last-time-out winner. However, the challenge will be whether he can concede weight to his rivals here.

    Mon Na Slieve
    A disappointing last-time-out performer but has recent race fitness on his side, which could make him competitive.


    The pace looks set to be fast and contested, with front-runners having the edge. But if they go too hard, a well-timed late surge could shake things up. Let’s see how the drama unfolds!

    8/1 Eternal Sunshine
     
    #3
  4. Grade One

    Grade One Well-Known Member

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    3.25 Exeter-Espoir Des Forges

    Should improve form now on better ground

    Each Way @ 13-2 [Bet 365]
     
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  5. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Wouldn't touch either of those races. Good luck Nass

    Muss 14.37 Motawaared at Evs. LOST Might need further but looks to have loads in hand. Crowley riding so looks as though the intention is to win this before moving up in distance. Looks a solid bet at that price
     
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  6. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Southwell
    16.55 Tuco Salamanca at 11/10 LOST
    19.00 Oriental Prince banker at 6/5 WON 4/6

    Straight double the two
     
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  7. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Gowran Park
    17.10 Win Me Over at Evs LOST Tough race but by Kingman out of a Nayef mare and sister to Palace Pier. Add to that trained by AOB. Has to be value at Evs
     
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  8. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Fancied Super Saint in that but scared stiff of the Golden Horn mare on a hat trick so 13/8 didn't look attractive enough BOTH LOST for info
     
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  9. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Might as well have a small accumulator on my 4 at the odds
     
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  10. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    I looked at Southwell, do you think we should be backing a horse first time at the course under a penalty? I thought Tuco Salamanca was worth taking on, with possibly the Fahey horse who has the course and distance form and could be improving too. I thought that race was pretty open.

    Oriental Prince does have the course form and I am a little surprised he is odds against. He is tempting.

    So back the former, lay the latter!!
     
    #10

  11. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Which is the Fahey horse Nass?
     
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  12. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Sorry, always get Fahey and Ryan mixed up. Horse I meant was West Tyrone
     
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  13. SwanHills

    SwanHills Well-Known Member

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    14:45 Ludlow - Regal Renaissance

    Class-4 Mares' Handicap Chase over 2m4f on good ground

    Only 4-runners in this and a very meagre price for the eventual winner, but this Clovis Du Berlai mare has a very good chance to take home the spoils. Sam Twiston-Davies rides for the Henry Daly yard.

    6/4 best price in nearly all places on the ATR site, at time of writing.
     
    #13
    Last edited: Apr 2, 2025
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  14. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Oh dear
     
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  15. gazboy

    gazboy Well-Known Member

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    Waiting on Spartan Arrow to complete a patent with bowl and Addison so it’s got about as much chance of winning as I have of ever completing that captcha task to reset your password! Think it took a year <badger><badger><badger>
     
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  16. gazboy

    gazboy Well-Known Member

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    Short price favs in the 6pm, 730pm and 830pm for another week patent
     
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  17. GOLDBONES

    GOLDBONES Well-Known Member

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    Outstanding that Nass
     
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  18. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Sumptuous <applause>
     
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  19. Grade One

    Grade One Well-Known Member

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    Mine Pulled Up...looks a horse with issues
     
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  20. SwanHills

    SwanHills Well-Known Member

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    Great stuff, Nass, well done! <applause>
     
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