JONES KNOWS BEST
Premier League Predictions & best bets: Wolves to wobble Liverpool as Jones Knows tips 9/1 best bet
Wolves vs Liverpool, Saturday 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
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Image:Wolves vs Liverpool, live on Sky Sports
If you include their Carabao Cup match against Brighton, Wolves will have played all seven of the top eight in the Premier League already this season after this match. It's been a rotten fixture list.
That makes them a hard team to assess, especially when they've posted some encouraging performances and racked up some healthy underlying numbers. Gary O'Neil's team have conceded almost seven more goals than their expected goals against numbers suggest - the biggest defensive underperformance.
Those numbers will close, potentially this weekend. Wolves are owed a bit of luck and Liverpool showed in their defeat to Nottingham Forest this Arne Slot team will go through some sticky patches this season. Wolves to avoid defeat at
9/4 with Sky Bet looks a big price.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Ipswich vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
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Image:Ipswich vs Aston Villa, live on Sky Sports
Ipswich are having to become a bit nastier than they were in the Championship in order to try and survive at this level.
They are making more fouls (14.2), receiving more yellow cards (3) and making more tackles (18.4) than they did per 90 in the Championship. Aston Villa are also a team that like confrontation and this looks a potential firecracker of an encounter where the cards line is a value play at
10/11 with Sky Bet for 50+ booking points.
Referees are as fussy as ever in the Premier League and 19 of the last 23 matches have seen 50+ booking points dished out.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: 50+ booking points (10/11 with Sky Bet, part of 9/1 treble)
Manchester United vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
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Image:Man Utd drew with FC Twente in the Europa League in midweek
This has to be the trickiest game of the weekend to form a strong opinion on. It could end 4-1 either way. It could end 4-4. I haven't a clue.
I do think Manchester United are improving on what we saw last season, just a basic drawdown of their baffling data from last season proves that. They've only faced 10 shots per game this season after facing 17.6 per game last season and are averaging just 3.1 corners per game conceded this season which was at a remarkable 7.3 last season, the most of any Premier League team.
Meanwhile, Tottenham's record against top-11 teams away from home since the start of last season is awful, winning two of 12 matches, and conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game.
The
13/10 on a home win did tempt me but I'm not quite trustworthy enough of United yet to invest.
A high-scoring draw it is then.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Bournemouth vs Southampton, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports
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Image:Bournemouth vs Southampton, live on Sky Sports
When there is Tyler Dibling, there is hope for Southampton this season.
We might just be looking at the next superstar in English football based on his early output.
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Play Video - Last-gasp Morsy equaliser denies Saints first PL win
Highlights from the Premier League match between Southampton and Ipswich
The 18-year-old academy product wowed on debut against Manchester United, bamboozling Diogo Dalot who made four fouls against him, including one to win Saints a penalty. He then scored his first goal of his career in the 1-1 draw with Ipswich and created another big moment for Cameron Archer, who hit the post with a wasteful finish.
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Bournemouth
Southampton
Monday 30th September 6:30pmKick off 8:00pm
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His attacking output and the way he moves with the ball reminds me of Jack Grealish - and he draws fouls like him too, winning eight fouls in his two Premier League starts. His opposite number Milos Kerkez might be in for a tricky evening and looks a spot of value to be carded at
9/2 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1