Off Topic Who will you vote for on July 4th?

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Who will you vote for in July 4th?

  • Conservative

    Votes: 6 10.2%

  • Labour

    Votes: 21 35.6%

  • Reform

    Votes: 7 11.9%

  • Liberal Democrat

    Votes: 3 5.1%

  • Green

    Votes: 2 3.4%

  • SNP

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Workers Party (Galloway)

    Votes: 1 1.7%

  • Other

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Will not vote/spoil ballot

    Votes: 13 22.0%

  • Undecided

    Votes: 6 10.2%
  • Total voters
    59
If l was in England, l'd be voting for the Service Provider Party ( SPP ).
Their out and about with the people, pressing the flesh ( so to speak ) mixing with the all & sundry.
if anyone knows what the people want, its the SPP and they know how to make things happen. They get the job done, quick smart. No more didley daddley about getting things thru council, Give their local constituents a good going over and they go home happy. That's progress!
Given that the everyday politicians have fcuked the country as best as they could, at least the SPP could achieve that in less time and keep the people happy!

Vote 1 - The Service Provider Party ............ 'First Serve, First Come'
 
Thought I'd have a try at predicting the numbers of seats won today and (partly science but more wishful thinking) I'm going for.....

Labour 450
LibDem 72
Tory 67
SNP 22
Plaid 12
Reform 7
Green 2
Others 18

Anyone else fancy a go?
 
Stroller said:
Thought I'd have a try at predicting the numbers of seats won today and (partly science but more wishful thinking) I'm going for.....

Labour 450
LibDem 72
Tory 67
SNP 22
Plaid 12
Reform 7
Green 2
Others 18

Anyone else fancy a go?
Click to expand...

Much as I’d like that I’m not as optimistic.

I’ll go…
Lab 421
Tory 103
Lib 70
SNP 22
Plaid (**** knows, no idea I’ll go with 9)
BNP Farage Edition 6
Green 3
Speaker 1
Others 15

= 650
 
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Bwood_Ranger said:
Much as I’d like that I’m not as optimistic.

I’ll go…
Lab 421
Tory 103
Lib 70
SNP 22
Plaid (**** knows, no idea I’ll go with 9)
BNP Farage Edition 6
Green 3
Speaker 1
Others 15

= 650
Click to expand...

I've got a couple of bets on. NF/BNP/Brexit/Nazi/Farage party to get 7 or more seats at 7/2 (now 13/8) and LibDems to get most seats without Labour at 5/1 (put on yesterday but now 9/2).
 
Stroller said:
I've got a couple of bets on. NF/BNP/Brexit/Nazi/Farage party to get 7 or more seats at 7/2 (now 13/8) and LibDems to get most seats without Labour at 5/1 (put on yesterday but now 9/2).
Click to expand...

Yeah the Reform seat prices have really shortened. I think they’ll nick a few with a low vote share where it’s close between three parties. I can’t honestly see Libs getting enough to be second. Their ceiling being optimistic is in the 70s.

I did Reform for 20%+ vote share mostly for insurance for my own sanity which I don’t expect to win but the price has shortened so I might leave it or lay it off. Not a big enough stake to worry about it but I got 4.5 on Betfair or 7/2 in old money and it’s now just under 5/2.

Not had the bet matched yet but I’ve gone for turnout over 64.5% as it’s sunny and someone should take my 3/1 based on what’s been placed already. Will look at some constituency betting now.
 
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Bwood_Ranger said:
Yeah the Reform seat prices have really shortened. I think they’ll nick a few with a low vote share where it’s close between three parties. I can’t honestly see Libs getting enough to be second. Their ceiling being optimistic is in the 70s.

I did Reform for 20%+ vote share mostly for insurance for my own sanity which I don’t expect to win but the price has shortened so I might leave it or lay it off. Not a big enough stake to worry about it but I got 4.5 on Betfair or 7/2 in old money and it’s now just under 5/2.

Not had the bet matched yet but I’ve gone for turnout over 64.5% as it’s sunny and someone should take my 3/1 based on what’s been placed already. Will look at some constituency betting now.
Click to expand...

Have you thought about becoming a bookie?
 
Bwood_Ranger said:
Yeah the Reform seat prices have really shortened. I think they’ll nick a few with a low vote share where it’s close between three parties. I can’t honestly see Libs getting enough to be second. Their ceiling being optimistic is in the 70s.

I did Reform for 20%+ vote share mostly for insurance for my own sanity which I don’t expect to win but the price has shortened so I might leave it or lay it off. Not a big enough stake to worry about it but I got 4.5 on Betfair or 7/2 in old money and it’s now just under 5/2.

Not had the bet matched yet but I’ve gone for turnout over 64.5% as it’s sunny and someone should take my 3/1 based on what’s been placed already. Will look at some constituency betting now.
Click to expand...

I fancy Labour to win my constituency - Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner, which has always been a safe Tory seat in the past. The Labour man is called Tony Gill, so he'll have a reasonable chance as long as the Tory waverers don't check out his photo.

Tory 8/13, Labour 6/5

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Stroller said:
I fancy Labour to win my constituency - Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner, which has always been a safe Tory seat in the past. The Labour man is called Tony Gill, so he'll have a reasonable chance as long as the Tory waverers don't check out his photo.

Tory 8/13, Labour 6/5

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Click to expand...

Does it include Moor Park? Some ropey bits of Ruislip and Northwood but some might be in the next constituency. If Labour can take there then they can take just about anywhere.
 
Bwood_Ranger said:
Does it include Moor Park? Some ropey bits of Ruislip and Northwood but some might be in the next constituency. If Labour can take there then they can take just about anywhere.
Click to expand...

No, Moor Park is in the South West Hertfordshire constituency, which will be close as well - 8/11 Tory, 6/5 Labour.

The Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner constituency is made up of the Harrow wards of Hatch End, Pinner and Pinner South, plus the Hillingdon wards of Eastcote, Harefield Village, Northwood, Northwood Hills and Ruislip.
 
Stroller said:
No, Moor Park is in the South West Hertfordshire constituency, which will be close as well - 8/11 Tory, 6/5 Labour.

The Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner constituency is made up of the Harrow wards of Hatch End, Pinner and Pinner South, plus the Hillingdon wards of Eastcote, Harefield Village, Northwood, Northwood Hills and Ruislip.
Click to expand...

Nice mix of dumps, obscene wealth and travellers then but I guess they don’t vote en masse. Weird town Harefield.
 
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I am going to suggest that the UK population is actually a lot more sensible than people think.

I think Reform will get only 1 seat...Clacton
 
Goldhawk-Road said:
People are only sensible if the vote like you do, eh, Beth...
Click to expand...

I am shocked you said that.

Sensible people don't vote for a party where a number of candidates have been disenfranchised by their own party for being racist.

And actual candidates have defected to the Tories on the eve of the election.

As I have said elsewhere I am urging people to vote...just vote ...that is democracy...and that includes Reform if you really feel that is where you want your vote to go.
 
qprbeth said:
I am shocked you said that.

Sensible people don't vote for a party where a number of candidates have been disenfranchised by their own party for being racist.
Click to expand...

Labour have disenfranchised hundreds of their party for being racist. So are people stupid to vote Labour?
 
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