Thought I would pounce on this one as a simple
example of sttattey in the hands of morons, as an
excuse to be an utter gobsh*te.
So read as your boredom allows (me being pitiful in doing this is a given

) ...
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/67048872
So what of it ??
Well, the statistical question is simply this :
when a PL team has 20 pts from their first 8 games,
what can we say about their prospects at season end ??
I took the past 20 seasons, and got the histogram
for final placing for the above. For discourse, I did the
same for 19 pts. Which gave me :
- 20 pts
P = 1 : 3
P = 2 : 4
P = 3 : 3
- 19 pts
P = 1 : 1
P = 2 : 3
P = 3 : 2
P = 4 : 1
P = 5 : 1
P = 6 : 1
So the answer to the question would be
(based on the "source data" ) that Spurs :
1. have a 30% chance of being champions
2. are a very good bet for finishing 1-3
(may be worth some seeing what odds the bookies are
currently offering on this)
and the BBC employs (at your expense) statttery
low education morons to produce space "padding" sh*te