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C

Cruyff's Turn

Well-Known Member
May 16, 2011
5,069
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Suffolk
OK Discuss...

Last season the top 7 clubs amassed a total of 464 points between them,an average of 1.74 points per game.

This season the top 7 as of today have played 76 games and have a total of 164 points,an average of 2.16 per game.

So,why is it and What are the implications?

I believe why it is is the growing disparity between the top seven.The two Manchesters,Liverpool,Spurs,Chelsea and Arsenal all have massive resources to buy multi million pound players,pay their wages and have squad depth for cover.Newcastle are less so but Pardew has done a brilliant job in managing what he has.A bit like Lambert and Rodgers but with more lucre.

The implications for us are actually rather good.If it carries on at this rate the top 7 clubs will between them take an average of 82 points this season,a total of 574.
380 matches are played over a whole season with a yield of between 760 and 1140 points,the lowest figure if every match was drawn,the higher if every match produced a winner/loser result.

Last season there were 111 drawn games in the season,this year to date there have been 26.So the rate of drawn games is reduced from 29% to 24%.The reason it could be good for us is that with the top 7 teams taking a larger share of the spoils it follows that the other 13 clubs will take,on average fewer.

This will reduce the points required for survival.Probably from the 40 needed last season
to around 36-7 this.If the season carries on like this then 38 will guarantee survival.
 
Dangerous Marsupial said:
If it helps I understood it! And I hate maths. But what the dominance of the big teams also means is we are more likely to take a drubbing on GD although we've avoided it so far.
Click to expand...

Maths and Stats are not exactly the same.I detest algebra.

As an aside the goals scored rate this season so far is 3.13 per game.All of last season worked out at 2.77 per game.

I initially feared a big defeat but it now looks less likely.I think the team has the balance between attack and defence about right.Blackpool were good to watch but likely to end up on the wrong end of a cricket score.We have only lost by two goals to Chelsea and United.
 
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