The 17.15 Nursery at Newcastle looks there for the taking for Royal Cay
Made a promising début in July, 20/1 beaten just 6½L when 7/15 behind Mill Stream who, next time out was beaten only ½L by the so far unbeaten Charlie Appleby colt Noble Style. Noble Style subsequently thrashed G1 winner Royal Scotsman by 8l. Mill Stream was then 4th in a G3 btn 5¼L by Chaldean
Next time out Royal Cay 33/1 was btn almost 10l by Sakheer who, admittedly, won in a canter but it was a fast time and, so far, I have mentioned 3 leading contenders for next year's 2000 Gns
On his third and latest run 18/1 he was beaten 4L by Kerdos who remains unbeaten
By Expert Eye out of a Dalakhani mare, the step up to 7f should be a plus
I'm guessing that the latest run has got him into this race on a very handy mark, given his earlier form. None of the others have fared at anywhere near that level, as far as I can tell so 5/2 looks reasonable but, being a nursery, I doubt the price will shorten overnight so I would probably wait and get the BOG tomorrow