I stated that the odds on a 2023 Referendum were contingent upon it being a binding Referendum (i.e. one authorised by Parliament, not a pointless SNP opinion poll costing £20m) because that is the condition of the bookmakers’ odds. It is called stating the facts. You are just obfuscating by dragging Brexit into the argument.
I notice that you are unable/unwilling to provide links to any of the claims that you are making whilst I offered a link to a polling organisation. According to the Institute for Government rolling average of polls (some of which include 16/17 year olds), dated March 2022, the Yes vote is well below 50 per cent.
On the What Scotland Thinks website, the
latest poll (27 June 2022) shows that 55 per cent do not want another Referendum in 2023 whilst 34 per cent do – the other 11 per cent would not swing it.
Also on that website, the
most recent poll by ComRes (28 June 2022) was 51 per cent No, 49 per cent Yes; as was Ipsos Mori in May. Yes have not led since April 2021. You are desperately clinging to the “Don’t Know” category all suddenly becoming Nationalists. Why not just give 5 year olds a vote and offer them sweeties and Irn Bru for voting Yes?