Fistral Beach 9/2 was going to win anyways before persian gates fall -glad too see horse and jock up ok
Twice going round I had my heart in my mouth with fallers thinking they might take Fistral Beach with them. Quite fancy the Hanagan runner in the next at Newmarket looks to big at the 9's.
Gaz: It's almost as though Tennessee Williams was writing about Wiltshire? None of my ruddy business, but I wonder if the young lady's name was Blanche DuBois? No? Oh well................or Vivien?...............
Almost forgot about SECRET EDGE in the 3.55 at Wetherby - really like his chances today. Form let down yesterday but this now reflects in his price at 5-1. Shaped as if he would come on lots for his hurdling debut.
Great stuff RV Cheers for the congrats on the Lays, the second one was running on well in the end- put him in your notebooks for next season middle distances MAWAQEET
Good luck on Mudita Moment swanhills, i have had a single on that selection also and a double with Trovare in the last at Newmarket.
6.55 Dundalk Five Star Junior 6/1 Have been so busy with the Masters I won't have time to do a write up as planned, but I'll post an old one that will give the main points. Five Star Junior has the plum draw in stall 1 tonight and Johnny Murtagh is a very big jockey booking for what is Linda Stubbs first ever horse to ride outside the UK. LTO Five Star Junior ran an excellent 3L 3rd over 6f at Doncaster in September, with the 2 in front of him winning subsequently. Five Star Junior is a better animal on the AW which sees him having a 7lb higher rating on the surface of 97, but he has won off a mark of 94 so he still looks very well weighted. He's clearly in very good form on the basis of his last effort and with the booking of Murtagh and Stubbs first visit across the Irish Sea she clearly means business and I am very confident of a win tonight and will be shocked if he doesn't make the frame ***Old Write Up*** Quite like the look of Linda Stubbs sole runner tomorrow in the shape of Five Star Junior. This heavily raced 5 year old gelding, with 50 races to date, has already notched up 14 runs this year and comes here after disappointing the last few times. Five Star Juniors career has seen him notch up 7 wins and 15 place efforts which is an impressive 44% rate of finishing in the money. Even still, the last few poor efforts are excusable and you don’t have to go far to find good efforts. Five Star Junior started out this year by embarking on an AW campaign and was in largely good form as he notched up 1 win and 3 places from 6 runs and was never far out of the frame. It is arguable that he is perhaps slightly better on the AW but I think it is still important to analyse the strength of these performances. These included narrow defeats to Edinburgh Knight and Anne of Kiev, who have won off higher turf marks subsequently. Five Star Junior holds an 8lb lower mark of 90 on the turf when compared to the AW, and his turf mark has dropped 5lb from his last effort after finishing 5.5L behind Secret Witness LTO, who re-opposes today off 7lb worse terms. Five Star Junior seemed outpaced over 5f early on before doing his best work in the closing stages but still was nowhere near close to getting to the winner. If Five Star Junior puts in the same performance as he did he won’t reverse the form but he generally tends to throw in a few shocking runs and finds form from nowhere so that isn’t too much of a concern to me with the step back to 6f a positive. Five Star Junior has posted 3 good runs this year on the turf: a 4L 4th behind Iver Bridge Lad off a mark of 94; a 1L 3rd to Fitz Flyer and a 1.25L 2nd behind Dinkum Diamond of todays mark of 90. Dinkum Diamond finished 5L behind subsequent Group 1 winner Margot Did before beating Five Star Junior, so that form doesn’t look to bad at all. Further to this, Five Star Junior won off a mark of 91 last year and performed well off a mark of 100 as a 3 year old so it is clear to me that he is definitely capable of winning off this mark. Even more encouraging is that Five Star Junior holds a Group 3 entry at the Curragh on Sunday so that demonstrates to me that Linda Stubbs feels her gelding is in fine form at home. Stubbs makes the long journey from North Yorkshire to Ffos Las for what is her only runner of the day and only her 2nd runner at the track ever. Her first runner Bronze Beau was unfancied on both form and in the betting but was very unlucky to lose in a photograph so to me this clearly indicates that she would not be making this long journey unless she fancied Five Star Junior to run a big race. Shane Kelly is a very interesting jockey booking and is the first time he rides for Stubbs this year. However, he has ridden for Five Star Junior 7 times in the past including 2 wins and 2 places so he clearly gets on well with him and rejoins his old companion for the first time since December 2009. I think this is very significant as it shows that Stubbs has booked a jockey who knows the horse but does not ride for her regularly as she is expected a strong performance. All in all I am expecting Five Star Junior to run a very good race and the 20/1 currently on offer seems very big to me. With all his best work on ground that is good any rain tomorrow would be a big negative. The Group 3 entry and the booking of Shane Kelly are big positives in my eyes, as is Linda Stubbs long journey with one runner where she was very close to having a 100% record. This looks a very open race tomorrow and I like the look of Piazzo San Pietro also and will have a saver on him as he has form with Lutine Bell who I rate a lot. The 2 Irish raiders definitely look threatening also and it is a really competitive heat. If Five Star Junior bounces back from a few poor efforts he is definitely weighted to run well for a yard that has been in the winners recently and I think this 5 year old gelding can definitely win this if back to his best.
Mudita moment definately worth following in the same grade Swanhills, that race will just bring him on i feel as just got tired in the last couple of furlongs against race fit rivals. Last bet for me now a single on Travore 5.20 Newmarket, Ryan Moore booked and a decent price, win bet to end the day. Just seen out to 12's so now going each way
