This is the thing. They have 70 points with 2 games left. Normally that gets you 4th and possibly 3rd place but this season 70 is getting you second.
Shows how poor or maybe inconsistent is the right word that those behind city have been. Heck even city haven’t been as good, they’ll win title with max 89 points and in last 3 years titles been won in the high 90s.
if someone fancies working it out, I’d imagine the points difference between 4th and 17th will be lowest it’s been for a while.
Yeah, last year we ran away with the title and utd could get 3rd with 66. This year 76 or less could be 2nd but last year it was 81. thats why i think its swings and roundabouts and really utd are bullshitters. They absolutely flopped in the CL and got the parachute into the easy Europa and are making it out to be a huge thing.
4th to 17th so its really 70 to 40 = 30 and how far off that it is who knows. those are the targets team should be having to get either space.
Here you go
chelsea 66 to villa on 35 = 31 points.
spurs 71 to brighton 36 = 35points.
liverpool 75 to southampton 36 = 39points
liverpool 76 to watford 40 = 36 points
man city 66 to sunderland 39 = 27 points
man utd 70 to villa 38 = 32 points
arsenal 79 to west brom 36 = 43 points.
This year the current gap is cheslea 64 to brighton on 37. so 27 points (so far) it could be 69(LFC) to 40 and be basically near enough "normal"
I find these things generally are swings and roundabouts. There is certainly a bigger gap between promoted teams and the rest now than there had been before. 35 points seems to be in and about safety these days. It seems very tough now to make the leap up.
70 is a good target to be 4th, its really where is the 5th place team so in general 70 is a decent target.
