Daily Racing Thread Tuesday 16th. March 2021
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The more I look at the Arkle the more Captain Guinness looks like my likely play as long as it's not too soft (Hopefully good to soft) which we should find out after the Supreme (A race in which Captain Guinness was starting to run well in when brought down 2 out).
Numitor will hopefully push Allmankind for the first few furlongs to go too fast, set it up for Shishkin and Captain Guinness coming up to the second last or last. Providing Captain Guinness can jump without mistakes, I think the run in with Shishkin could be a great finish.
Beaten nearly 9L by Energumene on Heavy ground. Was travelling well with Energumene before falling 2 out in the Irish Arkle on Soft, I could've seen him finishing at most 3 or 4 lengths off Energumene which I can't see any horse in this race doing apart from Shishkin. Franco De Port finished 2nd that day, a length in front of Blackbow who was beaten convincingly by Captain Guinness in that first race on Heavy over Christmas that Energumene won. I don't think I need to explain why I'm dismissing the 2 outsiders, just hoping Numitor tears off with Allmankind for a while.
Looking back, I think if this horse didn't fall it could've been a 3 horse finish in last year's Supreme with Shishkin and Abacadabras. I just feel like he's clearly the 3rd best horse in the race, if not the 2nd. I've had a good go at him to place when Energumene was still in the race so 3 places, And I just had an even better go at him at 1/4 of the odds at 9/2 E/W (3 places), an absolute scumbag bet of the highest order. Hopefully he stays up (That damn second last fence!) and goes one better than what I think and beats Shishkin to give me a great start to the week!
Numitor will hopefully push Allmankind for the first few furlongs to go too fast, set it up for Shishkin and Captain Guinness coming up to the second last or last. Providing Captain Guinness can jump without mistakes, I think the run in with Shishkin could be a great finish.
Beaten nearly 9L by Energumene on Heavy ground. Was travelling well with Energumene before falling 2 out in the Irish Arkle on Soft, I could've seen him finishing at most 3 or 4 lengths off Energumene which I can't see any horse in this race doing apart from Shishkin. Franco De Port finished 2nd that day, a length in front of Blackbow who was beaten convincingly by Captain Guinness in that first race on Heavy over Christmas that Energumene won. I don't think I need to explain why I'm dismissing the 2 outsiders, just hoping Numitor tears off with Allmankind for a while.
Looking back, I think if this horse didn't fall it could've been a 3 horse finish in last year's Supreme with Shishkin and Abacadabras. I just feel like he's clearly the 3rd best horse in the race, if not the 2nd. I've had a good go at him to place when Energumene was still in the race so 3 places, And I just had an even better go at him at 1/4 of the odds at 9/2 E/W (3 places), an absolute scumbag bet of the highest order. Hopefully he stays up (That damn second last fence!) and goes one better than what I think and beats Shishkin to give me a great start to the week!
Problem is, Oddy, the Yankee is the bookies' favourite bet. Picking two winners out of four is never easy and, even if say two favourites win, most times you'll still show a loss.
Despite his antics, Admiral's secret has won three of his last four races. Pedigree wise, he should stay five miles.
I have been having a good look at the handicaps as the Championship races looked short on value and then in the Ultima I come up with HAPPYGOLUCKY. He has the perfect profile to win this race.
In the Boodles I like CABOT CLIFFS and last week Admiral Balko gave the form a huge boost but the Irish look to have strong juvenile form and I took the 12/1 about RIVIERE D'Etel.
ESCARIA TEN for me in the finale as I think this trip looks tailor made for him (sorry Tward)
Cabot Cliffs? Isn't that the horse that no hoper Balko Saint beat five lengths at levels (behind Duffle Coat) and now receives eight pounds from him?
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Soft good to soft..that 10millimetres they had the other night is gonna help Honeysuckle and she's being backed pretty heavily by looks of things..
Cabot Cliffs? Isn't that the horse that no hoper Balko Saint beat five lengths at levels (behind Duffle Coat) and now receives eight pounds from him?
When I look at this race every year Tam I look for a horse that is improving with each run and I see that with Cabot Cliffs. When I picked my three a couple of weeks ago based on this theory I had him Balko Saint and Zoffanien as the three that are visibly improving with each run. Balko Saint only gets scratched for me as it was never trained in France nor ran on the flat, a stat that that applies to every single previous winner. Their own horse Admiral Balko gave the Cabot Cliffs formline a huge boost last week.
Despite all this Elliott probably has the winner hidden away.
2.30 Milan Native
4.15 Rivière D’Etel and Her Indoors
4.50 Escorial Ten
4.15 Rivière D’Etel and Her Indoors
4.50 Escorial Ten
Day 1 wagers.
1.20 Soaring Glory
(Free bet with PP, Money back with Skybet)
Treble
1.55 Shishkin
3.05 Honeysuckle
4.50 Galvin
EW Lucky 15
2.30 On For The Team
3.05 Silver Streak
3.40 Roksana
4.15 Houx Gris
All the very best with yours gents, hope there are loads of Boooommmm’s, crackers, beer glasses and that dancing fella on here during the day even if they aren’t mine.
1.20 Soaring Glory
(Free bet with PP, Money back with Skybet)
Treble
1.55 Shishkin
3.05 Honeysuckle
4.50 Galvin
EW Lucky 15
2.30 On For The Team
3.05 Silver Streak
3.40 Roksana
4.15 Houx Gris
All the very best with yours gents, hope there are loads of Boooommmm’s, crackers, beer glasses and that dancing fella on here during the day even if they aren’t mine.
Just the one you scuppered I think
Can he only think of the Williams’ running horses that aren’t from the other routes. Given they had Flying Tiger in the race it’s not as if they don’t know how to get a handicap winner.
Day 1, so let the madness begin...!!
1:20 - Blue Lord, 8/1 ew
1:55 - Captain Guinness, 8/1 ew
2:30 - Happygolucky 4/1 win, Milan Native 9/1 ew
3:05 - Honeysuckle, 2/1 win, Abacadabras, 8/1 ew
3:40 - Dame De Compagnie, 15/2, ew
4:15 - Riviere D'etel, 12/1 ew & Homme Public, 18/1ew
4:50 - Esaria Ten, 4/1 win, Remastered 8/1 ew & Snow Leopardess, 16/1 ew
I have most of the short favs in some sort of trebles and 4xfolds over the week but for each day, lazy betting i know, but somewhere deep down indise youd be icking yourself if they all came in...laugh>
Good luck to all who are playing today...
1:20 - Blue Lord, 8/1 ew
1:55 - Captain Guinness, 8/1 ew
2:30 - Happygolucky 4/1 win, Milan Native 9/1 ew
3:05 - Honeysuckle, 2/1 win, Abacadabras, 8/1 ew
3:40 - Dame De Compagnie, 15/2, ew
4:15 - Riviere D'etel, 12/1 ew & Homme Public, 18/1ew
4:50 - Esaria Ten, 4/1 win, Remastered 8/1 ew & Snow Leopardess, 16/1 ew
I have most of the short favs in some sort of trebles and 4xfolds over the week but for each day, lazy betting i know, but somewhere deep down indise youd be icking yourself if they all came in...
laugh>Good luck to all who are playing today...