Off Topic US Election

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Update from Philly expected any moment now apparently.

The belief is it'll go blue during this update, but that remains to be seen.
 
Quill said:
Worth mentioning a lot of military votes, which I would imagine lean more Republican, are still to be counted.


At the moment, the state Trump should be worried about the most is Pennsylvania, not Georgia. Even though losing Georgia would mean he could not get 270, Penns means that Biden would be guaranteed 270.
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That's right. Georgia sent out over 8,000 overseas votes so that will delay things further. Philadelphia will be the conclusive count expected later today. Although Trump is in the lead at the moment here, the Democrats are 1/33 to win. This is the killer punch we are waiting for.
 
Biden's taken the lead in Pennsylvania.

Now they're saying Trump won't concede even if he has no path to victory. They appear to be saying no one will dare tell him it's all over. It's similar to Hitler's last days in the bunker. Some Republicans are jumping ship already. It's crazy.
 
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Baldrick's Cunning Plan said:
Biden's taken the lead in Pennsylvania.

Now they're saying Trump won't concede even if he has no path to victory. They appear to be saying no one will dare tell him it's all over. It's similar to Hitler's last days in the bunker. Some Republicans are jumping ship already. It's crazy.
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Downfall feels like a very relevant watch right now. The Trump campaign does feel like it has entered the 'Berlin 1945' stage after that flip.

That jump from +18k Trump to +5k Biden, with still plenty to be counted, is huge. He had 88% of that latest batch vote for him.

Biden's won. A matter of when not if.
 
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Baldrick's Cunning Plan said:
Biden's taken the lead in Pennsylvania.

Now they're saying Trump won't concede even if he has no path to victory. They appear to be saying no one will dare tell him it's all over. It's similar to Hitler's last days in the bunker. Some Republicans are jumping ship already. It's crazy.
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I don't think concession is in Trump's dna.
 
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Not sure if an error or jumping the gun, but AP has called Biden as the winner in Pennsylvania, which would mean he has 273 and is now the President.

AP hasn't called Arizona though like other outlets.
 
x said:
how about this one then.
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someone can check the sums. how accurate is that 95%?

see, according to those numbers, the total number of votes cast that they're expecting to count is

100x(1482251+1365873)/(51.3+47.2)/0.95

with some degree of error. which i get to 3043680 plus or minus something. about 15k.

but later

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which gives an expected total of

100x(1630389+1609879)/((49.4+48.8)*0.99)

which is 3332992 give or take about 16.5k

which is 289311 more than the previous expected total. don't they know? weren't this extra 289k expected?
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Do your calculations take into account votes cast for the candidates other than Biden and Trump?
 
We might as well call it now. Probably dragged out for several days, but...

Trump's reign has expired. It will be no more, he's gone to meet his lawyers. He's an ex-President - in January.

Forget the lawsuits, he's finished.
 
Federal government now giving Biden presidential protection. Think everybody gets it bar Trump
 
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