I get finding them interesting and like the quirkier ones, I just won't read much into them and will trust my eyes over the majority if not all.
You’ll go on recent form more than something more in the past so last season gets less significant as this season goes on. More so if there’s been a big turnover of players/managers.
Stats can be very deceiving and easily manipulated. It’s very rare they tell a full story without bringing more stats into it and then it never ends.
I just remember seeing a documentary on Japanese students who used historical data to predict results going back to when the first ball was kicked. They won quite a few quid for 3 years in a row.
Books offer the coin toss which is evens at 10/11. Thieving bastards. The thing is, people bet on this ****!
It’s not really a case of believing in it. It’s more that it’s illogical that it doesn’t exist. You can hit the same shot twice and a gust of wind will divert one half an inch onto the post and another into the top corner. A goalkeeper can have a worldie or throw one in. It’s just a factor out of your control that affects your results.
I made a thread on xG: https://www.not606.com/threads/xg-explained.381300/ xG is based on the average performance of professional footballers If you consistently score fewer goals than your xG suggests that doesn't mean you're unlucky it means your players are **** Liverpool are way ahead of their xG which also doesn't mean we're lucky but that we have much better than average players
Man Utd started it all, banging on about their 1.1 billion fans just to secure better bank loans Now you're suddenly whinging that the game is too much about plastics and finance?