1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

Favourites and Distances

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by TC (Lovely Geezer), Oct 16, 2017.

  1. TC (Lovely Geezer)

    TC (Lovely Geezer) Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    16,467
    Likes Received:
    4,111
    Had a very good year so far with these bets.
    Only available with Betfred or Hills

    Today

    Yarmouth - Favourites over 105 @ 7/4 won
    Musselburgh - Favourites over 95 @ 7/4 won
    Yarmouth - Distances over 15.5 @ 7/4 won
    Musselburgh - Distances over 16.5 @ 7/4 won

    £10 4 fold returned £571

    This is the 5th time the overs bet has won in 5 weeks - before the 3rd time, the over distances were 15/8 so they I expect the odds to come in to 13/8 soon.
    Unfortunately, the markets for these bets is only available 50 mins before the first race, so you have to look out for them.

    Anyone else play these markets?
     
    #1
    Ron and gazboy like this.
  2. gazboy

    gazboy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 4, 2011
    Messages:
    2,312
    Likes Received:
    950
    Luv ma favs <laugh><laugh><laugh>
     
    #2
    Ron likes this.
  3. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,993
    Likes Received:
    25,220
    I don't even know what they mean TC. Could you explain them for me please?
     
    #3
  4. rudebwoy

    rudebwoy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2013
    Messages:
    4,476
    Likes Received:
    2,677
    To many variables to be a strategy, bit like goals galore etc, you will get streaks of success but the odds are actually against you long term
     
    #4
  5. rudebwoy

    rudebwoy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2013
    Messages:
    4,476
    Likes Received:
    2,677
    The going has a big effect on distances and can change during a meeting so you need to be a meteorological forecaster as well, apprentice and amateur races as well as maidens versus handicap provide distance anomalies, all very tricky ~a friend of mine has been making hay/money in French league 2 matches in the over 1.5 goals a game market, just look at the stats, amazing with some of these minor league games!
     
    #5
  6. TC (Lovely Geezer)

    TC (Lovely Geezer) Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    16,467
    Likes Received:
    4,111
    No problem Ron

    The quote is for the meeting
    Today there were 8 races at Musselburgh and 9 at Yarmouth

    Every winning Fav gets 25 points, 10 for 2nd and 5 for 3rd
    Distances - aggregage for the meeting in lengths with a neck = 0.3 lengths, head = 0.2 lengths short head 0.1 length nose = 0.01 length.


    So Todays first 3 results at Musselburgh

    Race 1 1ST Marnie James 8/11Fav by 3.5L = 25 points
    Race 2 1ST Royal Cosmic 13/8F by a head
    Race 3 1ST Muntadab 8/1 by 1.25 lengths Fav Unplaced

    Therefore atfer 3 races your running total is
    Fav'S 50
    Distances 4.95

    As rudebwoy says, quite a few variables - namely which 2 meetings to chose.
    But as the bet gives a 57/1 return, and you do it religiously, it's quite a profitable system. <cheers>
     
    #6
    Last edited: Oct 16, 2017
    Ron likes this.

  7. TC (Lovely Geezer)

    TC (Lovely Geezer) Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    16,467
    Likes Received:
    4,111
    I agree mate, but for a small stake, it keeps you interested in the whole card no matter how crap the races are.
    NB - I thought today's bet was a gonner as I needed the Fav to be placed and the winning distance over 6 lengths in the last at Musselburgh - Taweef went off as fav and duly obliged by 15 lengths <party>
     
    #7
  8. rudebwoy

    rudebwoy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2013
    Messages:
    4,476
    Likes Received:
    2,677

    i suppose your right , small stakes and interest for the whole card and not necessarily just the winner ,better odds than winning a small lottery return
     
    #8
  9. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,993
    Likes Received:
    25,220
    Thanks for that TC. Would never have worked that out
     
    #9

Share This Page