Daily Racing Thread Sunday 20th. August 2017

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Am off to Ponty tomorrow so if anyone fancies owt please share and have my appreciation
Have a good day smokey. You get to see a Frankel filly. Looks a decent card.

Might be worth a small dabble ew on Teomaria. 5th of 13 on début in a decent time and easily available at 14/1. Looks a bit over-priced to me
 
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Enjoy smokey, my only system selection for Ponty is Porteledge in the 4 35, but don't see how on earth that can win and don't see why it's only 14/1 should be about 100/1.

Find it very very interesting that away from the big deauville races Harry Dunlop sends one over in a maiden - Star of Vendrome @ 16/1 defo worth a dabble
 
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Looking into the Dunlop one, looks like it ran at Deauville the other week, ran a good 7th, led but weakened 2f from home, now dropped from 7f to 5f. Very interesting indeed
 
In the 3.20 Curragh it looks like a two horse race between Ballydoyle pair HAPPILY and SEPTEMBER. I'm hoping that Ryan Moore has picked the wrong one and I'm lumping on SEPTEMBER. I think he has beaten better horses to date especially Nyaleti who has won since and is running in the Group 1 Prix Morny today.
 
This is gunna sound ridiculous, but you can do worse than a couple of pounds on Hi Tide in the 5 25 Southwell to win, i know it's an old boy now, but it's about 30lbs below it's last winning mark, C&D winner, small mediocre field and Quinlan rode a 16/1 winner for Jenkins the other week
 
Reckless Gold 5/1 3.55 Curragh
Ran well in the Tattersalls Gold Cup and this looks a weak race.

Petitcoatgovernment
16/1 4.00 ponte
Could run into a place if running to a similar level to her third behind Only Mine at the curragh two starts back.

Nyaleti 11/4 3.30 deauville
She's the best of the British fillies in my book at the moment. I'm not sure I trust the Albany form but she holds the fav anyway through Mistress of Venice and also holds Tantheen through Darkanna.

Marmelo 5/1 4.10 deauville
Looks overpriced having run to a decent standard on all his three runs this year.
 
One decent thing about Obrien that cant be said for some in similar dominant positions, he will run good horses against each other.

Happily and September are the best 2yo fillies so far and it must have been a tough call for Moore but I think hes been pretty sure Happily is the best since that impressive win at Leopardstown and I tend to agree. I love September but she is one for middle distance next year and id be very surprised if she had the gears to go with Happily today.

The Galileo x Halfway To Heaven isnt a bad 3rd string either, the pedigrees they have every year is just ridiculous, doubt if this situation has ever existed before in racing.
 
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In the 3.20 Curragh it looks like a two horse race between Ballydoyle pair HAPPILY and SEPTEMBER. I'm hoping that Ryan Moore has picked the wrong one and I'm lumping on SEPTEMBER. I think he has beaten better horses to date especially Nyaleti who has won since and is running in the Group 1 Prix Morny today.

Fingers crossed that the market has now got this right
 
And there is the downside of him running all his good ones <laugh>

20/1 with that pedigree

Can only guess that it handled the ground best.
 
In the 3.20 Curragh it looks like a two horse race between Ballydoyle pair HAPPILY and SEPTEMBER. I'm hoping that Ryan Moore has picked the wrong one and I'm lumping on SEPTEMBER. I think he has beaten better horses to date especially Nyaleti who has won since and is running in the Group 1 Prix Morny today.

Well that was fecking rubbish and low and behold the obrien outsidder wins fairly easier. What a joke :)
 
The full sister to Rhododendron beats the full sister to Gleneagles.

Its a shame that was run on desperate ground, hopefully its proper flat ground for the Moyglare.
 
Hands and heels by all accounts. Does AOB (and his jockeys) not know which of his horses is the best
 
Hands and heels by all accounts. Does AOB (and his jockeys) not know which of his horses is the best

Almost every horse in the yard is bred to win Classics and they seem to let them progress on the track rather than find out at home, they know that every year a couple will come to the fore from somewhere and its not always the ones that romp in first time out.

With all the horses being such a high quality, a good one isnt going to stand out like it would in a run of the mill yard where it would be cantering all over everything and there would be no doubt.
 
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The form of these AOB horses is all over the place, They have either beaten each other or lost to horses that have lost to horses they have beaten. Confused? I am
 
Almost every horse in the yard is bred to win Classics and they seem to let them progress on the track rather than find out at home, they know that every year a couple will come to the fore from somewhere and its not always the ones that romp in first time out.

With all the horses being such a high quality, a good one isnt going to stand out like it would in a run of the mill yard where it would be cantering all over everything and there would be no doubt.
That's very true. I'm forgetting they are babies, some more forward than others, some slower learners, some slow maturers. Any of them could fail to train on. We need to be looking at them early next year to see which ones have progressed/are progressing the best, physically, mentally etc