Who's going down?

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Fulham & Cardiff.

The one other could be anyone - you could make out a case for any of the bottom half but Norwich don't score enough and are poor away. Their final four fixtures are unlikely to earn them more than 1 or 2 points at best so they need a minimum of 8 from the next 6 games. If they don't manage it, they're going down. If they do WBA are in a bit of turmoil and Sunderland rely too much on an ageing defence. Either could struggle to get to the 38 points they'll need.

EDIT: Sunderland play Palace, West Ham, Cardiff & Swansea at home which could be crucial for them (although they have Spurs, Chelsea, Utd and City away & Everton at home too)

Nostradamus like too!
 
Cardiff are going down, and it's pretty much all Vincent Tan's fault: they were doing fine until he started looking for excuses to sack Malky McKay, and his meddling killed their form overnight.
Fulham have been a train wreck all season, now on their third manager of the season and they've looked demoralised since October (which was two managers ago!)

For the final spot, I can see Norwich having a bad run that sees them get sucked in, although I'd prefer if the Premier League deducted 20 points from West Ham for...being West Ham.

Shame West Ham never got deducted but again he was also correct.