1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

What’s the safety point this season?

Discussion in 'Newcastle United' started by Albert's Chip Shop, Jan 19, 2020.

  1. Albert's Chip Shop

    Albert's Chip Shop Top Grafter
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jun 27, 2011
    Messages:
    72,436
    Likes Received:
    37,866
    Some are saying as low as 38 points are needed this season to stay up but I reckon 41-42 is more realistic.

    there’s quite a few teams bunched and I expect Bournemouth, Norwich and Villa to drop.

    I’d be happy with that.
     
    #1
  2. JokeInEre

    JokeInEre Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2012
    Messages:
    2,033
    Likes Received:
    2,052
    40 points required me thinks. Villa will get out of it unfortunately.
     
    #2
  3. Prince Isak (GG)

    Prince Isak (GG) Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2011
    Messages:
    30,028
    Likes Received:
    17,253
    39 will be enough. We will end on 43.
     
    #3
  4. Rudekid

    Rudekid Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2019
    Messages:
    107,322
    Likes Received:
    56,395
    I dunno mind they are in the ****... watford next so lose that and boy are they in trouble
     
    #4
  5. Charlie Dogscock

    Charlie Dogscock Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2016
    Messages:
    9,763
    Likes Received:
    6,241
    40 has only been required once in 20+ years, last year you only needed 34 to stay up, 38 will easily be enough.
     
    #5
    haslam likes this.
  6. Mick O'Toon

    Mick O'Toon Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2011
    Messages:
    32,093
    Likes Received:
    25,446
    Win at Everton and then we're safe and can concentrate on the cup.IMHO
     
    #6
  7. Freddd

    Freddd Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    4,517
    Likes Received:
    1,162
    I think 38 is about right. West Ham are the only team to have ever been relegated with 40 points, aren't they ?
     
    #7
  8. Southerner

    Southerner Active Member

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2019
    Messages:
    413
    Likes Received:
    155
    I think a maximum of 36 points and probably as low as 33. Currently 6 teams are close to, or below a point a game, there is no way all 6 will much improve on that, at least three of them will do worse. It is possible that a safe mid table team like us go on a 10 game really bad streak, ala Bournemouth. but very, very unlikely. It is likely that the bottom 3 will come from the current bottom 6 or 7, and will become fairly certain in 3 or 4 games time.
     
    #8
  9. Rudekid

    Rudekid Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2019
    Messages:
    107,322
    Likes Received:
    56,395
    40 ... tbh now we have a cm who can play football we will be fine
     
    #9
  10. Welshie

    Welshie Chavcunt fanboy dickhead

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    25,807
    Likes Received:
    23,967
    I think the bottom three are down honestly.

    Villa are the absolute definition of a one man team, if Grealish can't set up or score a goal they look ****tastic.
     
    #10

  11. haslam

    haslam Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 29, 2011
    Messages:
    10,926
    Likes Received:
    10,961
    I was going to chip in with something similar.

    upload_2020-1-21_19-53-50.png
    Norwich aren't getting above mid 30's at best. Bournemouth may improve and get to 38 but Villa I can't see getting over a point per game. All it takes is for one of the teams just above them to go through a bad run (and some of them surely will) and they'll struggle to get to that sort of figure themselves.

    I reckon a team will go down with 36 points and 38 is safety.
     
    #11
  12. Mick O'Toon

    Mick O'Toon Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2011
    Messages:
    32,093
    Likes Received:
    25,446
    Watford,B'mouth & S'hampton leading
     
    #12
  13. haslam

    haslam Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 29, 2011
    Messages:
    10,926
    Likes Received:
    10,961
    Watford beating Villa and Bournemouth beating Brighton. Doesn't change anything.

    The points for survival is based of 38 games played by each team.
     
    #13
  14. Roland Deschain

    Roland Deschain Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2011
    Messages:
    10,631
    Likes Received:
    9,487
    I've worked out the safety point - when Bruce stops picking ****ing Joelinton.
     
    #14
    Welshie likes this.
  15. RobEllious

    RobEllious Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 14, 2011
    Messages:
    3,062
    Likes Received:
    1,759
    Fascinating.
     
    #15
  16. Rudekid

    Rudekid Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2019
    Messages:
    107,322
    Likes Received:
    56,395
  17. Rudekid

    Rudekid Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2019
    Messages:
    107,322
    Likes Received:
    56,395
    Both he and carroll are injured now
     
    #17
  18. Welshie

    Welshie Chavcunt fanboy dickhead

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    25,807
    Likes Received:
    23,967
    Joelinton is injured??! <diva><diva><diva>
     
    #18
  19. Rudekid

    Rudekid Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2019
    Messages:
    107,322
    Likes Received:
    56,395
    Yes
     
    #19

Share This Page