http://news.stv.tv/north/293569-ian-wood-warns-of-aberdeen-downturn-as-north-sea-oil-winds-down/ Businessman Ian Wood has said Aberdeen needs to plan for a âdifficult periodâ as oil and gas âwinds downâ over the next 35 years. The former Wood Group chairman said the North Sea industry is going through a âdifficult periodâ and warned that Aberdeen would begin to feel the effects of a downturn in the oil and gas sector by 2030. Sir Ian said the city's leaders must do more to seize a "golden opportunity" to "transform" Aberdeen. In a guest column for STV Aberdeen, Sir Ian said: âI strongly believe Aberdeen needs to think and plan ahead with real vision for what will undoubtedly be a difficult period of economic readjustment as the North Sea Oil Industry winds down over the next 30 to 35 years. âRight now, the industry is going through a difficult period with a very worrying lack of exploration, continuing low production efficiency, seriously damaging high costs and a significant number of offshore assets up for sale. âOne good outcome of the referendum No vote is that two key initiatives, the UK Treasuryâs in-depth look at its fiscal policy and the initiative to establish a new offshore regulator, should have a very positive impact on investment and activity levels. âBut depletion is inevitable and the recent Independence debate has established the likely oil and gas depletion timetable. âProfessor Alex Kempâs figures show that in 1999, the height of oil production, we were producing 4.6 million barrels per day. âThis year it will be down to 1.45 million, just above a million in 2030, 500,000 in 2040 and 200,000 in 2050, so thatâs down to 15% of our current production. âThe practical impact is that, probably no later than 2030, we will begin to see surplus capacity in hotels, pubs, restaurants, retail outlets, rented properties, housing and many other sectors.â Golden opportunity Sir Ian criticised Aberdeen City Council and the cityâs âunattractiveâ city centre. He continued: âLocal government, who did show some vision with their economic development plan when oil and gas first appeared, should be in the vanguard on this challenge, but our present administration show virtually no signs of even recognising the approaching economic challenge so clearly out there. âAberdeenâs recently completed impressive sports centre and the plans for a very ambitious new exhibition centre are both helpful developments, but thereâs little else. âOur already unattractive city centre continues to deteriorate and Iâm bound to say itâs almost unbelievable that we didnât go ahead with the Union Terrace Gardens proposals of some two years ago, which had majority support in a referendum. âIn my opinion, history will see this as a lost golden opportunity to transform the centre of our city.â He added: âYou may say that 2050 is 35 years away, but the beginnings of the impact will be felt in 2030, and thatâs only 15 years away. So the time for action is now.â
As the North sea diminishes the west coast and Atlantic ridge will flourish. Boom time for Oban. Happy days (except in Aberdeen which will die a slow horrible death. Much like ER is currently going through just now)
Breaking: When asked about their new fracking rights and intended areas for doing so, a spokesman for the Wood Group said "Ach, we only want to do it under ER's hovel anyway - not as if anyone's gonna give a flying ****."