Lingfield 2.20 Thunderstruck 14/1 Quite like the look of this C+D winning 7 year old who makes his debut for new trainer Scott Dixon who has made an excellent start to his training career with 3 wins from his first 10 runners which began last month. Although he's on a long losing streak of 20 and is winless since 2010, he has dropped to a quite an attractive mark and is now only 1lb above his last winning mark and looks to be quite nicely handicapped on his old form. Thunderstuck normally reserves his best racing for this time of year with all of his wins and places taking place between September and March and 2 of his 5 wins occurring in January. He's a proven winner in this grade (Class 4) and has indeed put in some excellent efforts in Class 2 and 3 events with a head defeat in the former and a 2L defeat in the latter coming off a 5lb higher mark so he looks very well handicapped to me. Dixon makes his first visit to Lingfield and it represents a near 7 hour round trip for his only runner of the day so I think it looks like he is making the journey with a horse that he expects to run a big race. Ian Mongan, who is having his first ride for the rookie trainer, has had 4 rides on Thunderstruck before which makes the jockey booking even more telling. Although the draw in stall 12 is a bit of a negative for this horse who likes to front run or race prominently, he overcame a similarly bad stall to win at Kempton and he usually breaks fast so I don't think its an insurmountable task. He's going to have to bounce back from a few pretty bad runs but Dixon has found an immediate recapture of form with some of his other debut runners and he looks nicely handicapped to win this. 14/1 looks a very nice price to me, although I've missed 20s, and if the unexposed runners in this field aren't miles ahead of the handicapper I fancy Thunderstruck to go very close if getting a nice early position.
Scott Dixon is the brother of the owner who had these horses under Dandy Nicholls? I am guessing he has taken over the satellite stable they set up? Anyone have more info on Scott and also that Du Plessis lady who trained a bumper winner the other day? My bet is Pytheas in the lucky last at Lingfield. Once again its on the blog. www.nassauboard.blogspot.com
Kudu Country in the opener at Southwell, Glee going to win, only ride there, up against a nice horse Eradicate, but they are cnfident and Nass , its a Cap Rio !!!!!!!!!!!! Stay Frosty
Dan, I haven't even looked at Southwell so all I will say is good luck. In the 2.20 I like the one Fallon is on
Morning All I'm concentrating on Huntingdon. 1.30 One Lucky Lady This Henderson/Tinkler partnership is on fire and I'm not about to desert just yet. This filly is making her debut over timber but was rated 75 on the level and despite having little experience of soft ground she ran an 85 rated Balding horse to half a length on heavy in a nursery 15 months ago. Lucy Wadhams Songsmith was rated 2lb higher on the level and is likely to pose the biggest threat but this ones jockey has hit the deck twice in his three hurdle outings and clearly struggles when being asked to leave the ground, I think One Lucky Lady is a solid bet here. 3.30 Millers Glen Not the worlds best Bumper by any means and Hens 6 year old looks to have been slow coming to hand but didn't run without ability on his Bumper debut at the track a month ago. He now has the services of D Elsworth and looks to be a decent each way bet at around 13/2. Good luck all
One other thing this morning, is it Catty who loves Street Power? Anyway he is entered up on Friday and they are selling shares in him. The lass who mentioned it on twitter is a looker too. Interesting...
Morning one and all A few bets for me today courtesy of the ATR tracker: Hunt - 12.30 - Dance Tempo - Surely has the best form in the race and I think 7/2 is a massive price South - 15.10 - Able Deputy/Manor Court - Maguire makes the journey up the A1 for Able Deputy and I also like Manor Court who is supposedly better than has shown so far for the reverse forecast. South - 14.40 - Whatshallwedo - Must be a nailed on certainty even under a penalty Trixie and reverse forecast
Morning everyone. First day back at work Mr Nicholas Henderson Esq to have any number of winners today, maybe even all 6 he sends out to win? Worth a small e/w accumulator or heinz? 12.30 Hunt Joseph Lister's 2nd to Ohio Gold looks very good form (although Dance Tempo is respected) 13.00 Hunt Cheney Manor - surely he'll have this one right for the nephew? 13.30 Hunt One Lucky Lady - what a wonderful name for a filly 14.00 Hunt Heather Royal - a fine run behind Molotof last time and a repeat of that should be enough here 12.40 Sout Eradicate - highly tried last time, this looks like a shoo-in 15.10 Sout Oscar Nominee - probably not the strongest in the yard but warrants respect on hurdles debut I nearly put this on last night but then got distracted by Man City - Liverpool, and no betting sites at work so I really hope they don't all win. Best of luck to everyone
I placed an ante-post Cheltenham yankee last night on: Hurricane Fly 9/4 Sizing Europe 9/4 Big Buck's 4/7 Long Run 5/2 Does anyone know whether all 4 championship races have been won by the title holder from the previous year? Probably not but they all look cast-iron to me.
Oddy I've done pretty much the same although I placed mine on 2nd Nov Hurricane Fly 7/4 Long Run 2/1 Peddlers 6/1 Big Bucks 4/5 Quevega 6/4 £20 Accy and a £2 lucky 31
Oddy, with the injury doubts about the Fly I would be wary of betting on him. That said, they all will take a good deal of beating.
Yeah I know, haven't done massive stakes but thought it would add to the sense of anticipation. I did a few ante post bets last year and most of them didn't even run
