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Wednesday 8th August Daily Thread

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by Bucks, Aug 7, 2012.

  1. Bucks

    Bucks Member

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    One that catches my eye tomorrow is at KEMPTON in the 6.00 RAWAKI 3/1 Dropped down in grade here with decent apprentice up Thomas Brown I will take him to get his head back in front tomorrow.

    Best of luck <ok>
     
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  2. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    Got to agree with Bucks on Rawaki. Ran two good races in much better handicaps than this and will find things much easier today. 3s represents a very playable price to me.

    3.30 Pontefract

    Green Mitas 20/1


    Going to keep this one short enough but if getting the tactical ride I think Green Mitas could go very close to landing this 1m handicap. I'm ignoring his last effort which I think came on unsuitably soft ground but if replicating the form of his 3rd 2 starts ago at Chester then I think he could be very hard to beat. Although 0-8 to date, this 3 YO's career only started back in February and he has shown a bit of promise to date with probably his best effort coming on handicap debut at Wolverhampton off a mark of 65 back in April. Undoubtedly his best turf effort came two starts back on good ground at the end of June when going down by a 1.75L beaten 3rd when sent off a 50/1 shot off a mark of 59. Over the extended 10f trip, Ian Burns kicked Green Mitas for home with a little over 2f to and I think stamina just got the better of him late on as he finished a tired but very respectable 3rd. The form of that race looks rather strong with the 2nd and 6th winning on their next starts and in hindsight it was a really likeable effort. He was stepped back to 7f for his last start on unsuitable ground and I think he goes back up to an ideal 1m trip with a stiff finish if given a similarly enterprising ride today again off a mark of 59. What I hope happens is either Green Mitas tries to make all under Julie Burke, who is having her first start for the stable. Only 7 runners go to post which is annoying from an e/w perspective but it should hopefully mean that he gets an uncontested lead. I don't see any reason why Green Mitas can't reproduce his effort from 2 starts ago and if he does I think he could be very difficult to peg back for a trainer who has already had a 50/1 and 25/1 winner this year.
     
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  3. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

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    I want to get this one up early as i feel the price will go.

    Kempton
    8.30 Scrupal 6-1

    This horse should be backed in a race that is certainly within his ability to win. The key is he is dropping down to a mile from 10 furlongs as he has been in front at the mile pole but not held on in 3 of his last 4 races. He has been in with horses that suggest he is capable in this grade, the main form line that would suggest this is with Goodwood Atlantis who finished 1 1/2 lengths in front of him two runs ago and then went very close in a very good Goodwood handicap last week. There are unexposed horses in this race and so i cannot be hugely confident of him winning but i really think he has a sporting chance at 6-1.

    As a suggestion of how he will do it is that i feel Fallon will either race him up to lead from the stalls or take it up as soon as possible and try to make a virtually all. He knows at 8f the horse will definately stay as has been running at 10f and so i see him making it a test and having just to much staying power in the last furlong and holding on. Here's hoping anyhow.
     
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  4. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Two for me

    SPIFER

    SIR FRANCIS DRAKE


    Have been popping in and see you are all in fine form - well done <applause> keep the winners coming.
     
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  5. smokethedeadbadger

    smokethedeadbadger Well-Known Member

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    Lucky 31 for me today

    4:50 Brighton - Isobella 11/4
    5:00 Pontefract - Striker Torres 12/1
    5:10 Newcastle - Steel City Boy 12/1
    7:50 Yarmouth - Astroscarlet 3/1
    9:00 Kempton - Casa Bex 6/1
     
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  6. FOLLOWUREINSTINCT

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    Long time no post but often in for a wee look see - some cracking selections recently. These fall into the selections category - unlikely to be cracking.

    Old Man Clegg New 2.10.
    Hoofalong New 2.40 - for a quickfire Easterby double.

    Seen on the telly earlier that a newspapers front page (express?) had front page pictures of all of yesterdays british gold medal winners - unfortunately they had a picture of the dutch equestrian team with their bronze medals!! someones for the high jump - is that a pun?.

    Good luck to those having a dabble today
     
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  7. Shearer Cort Given Dyer Speed

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    E/W double for me today. <ok>

    Regal Rave 12/1
    4.20 Brighton

    Bollin Greta 10/1
    4.00 Pontefact
     
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  8. Grecian Mick

    Grecian Mick Well-Known Member

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    Morning all,

    Think Hannon/Hughes double is on the cards over at Brighton this afternoon. Really fancy the chances of Danz Choice in the opener, beat Dream Maker 2 weeks ago and that one has gone on to win the next two. Over at Ponty the red hot Johnston team have Sir Graham Wade going again after a good win at Goodwood last week.

    2.20 Bright - Danz Choice
    3.20 Bright - Rising Legend
    4.00 Pont - Sir Graham Wade

    Good luck all.
     
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  9. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    SCRUPAL now a 9/2 shot 4's generally
     
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  10. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

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    I would actually still consider him reasonable value at 7-2 or above so 9-2 would sti be worth taking in my opinion Ardent.
     
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  11. gazboy

    gazboy Well-Known Member

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    Abriachan 900 Kempton! Did someone not tip this the other day and was a NR?

    also football tomorrow, if you can call it that when Liverpool play!! <laugh> Liverpool -1 8/11 is that just printing money cos that other lot were poor!!!
     
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  12. LG

    LG Well-Known Member

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    AL MANAAL Newcastle 2.40pm 11/2
     
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  13. gazboy

    gazboy Well-Known Member

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    Stole Grecians treble have a <cracker> my man 1st one in <boom>
     
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  14. Grecian Mick

    Grecian Mick Well-Known Member

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    Cheers gazboy, missed the race but nice to see a winner. Just hope the second horse wins for the double. Al Maanaal next
     
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  15. Grecian Mick

    Grecian Mick Well-Known Member

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    oh well my be not then
     
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  16. gazboy

    gazboy Well-Known Member

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    had al manaal as well!!!!
     
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  17. Grecian Mick

    Grecian Mick Well-Known Member

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    Wild sauce next
     
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  18. YouCanCallMeJeff

    YouCanCallMeJeff Active Member

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    Looks like best ground at Brighton is on far side rail, low draws might struggle to get over. I have Satwa Laird 16/1 in the 3:50 at Brighton. Pretty confident that this one has a decent chance and 1/4 odds top 4 is a nice each way price.
     
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  19. Grecian Mick

    Grecian Mick Well-Known Member

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    Wild Sauce <cracker>
     
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  20. Grecian Mick

    Grecian Mick Well-Known Member

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    Nice double up <cracker>
     
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