Daily Racing Thread Wednesday 5th. August 2020

  • Please bear with us on the new site integration and fixing any known bugs over the coming days. If you can not log in please try resetting your password and check your spam box. If you have tried these steps and are still struggling email [email protected] with your username/registered email address
  • Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!
Newton Abbot 2.20 FUKUTO

French recruit (cost 52.000) who didn't lived up to expectations in first season last year but gets fast ground today for the first time since winning at france. David Bridgewater does well with his chasers at Newton Abbot (14 in the first three from 28 runs over the last 5 seasons). There is a bit of money coming for Fukuto today.
 
  • Like
Reactions: NassauBoard
Like the look off Tina Marie 6.50 sligo runs a big race once in awhile at big odds ran on well for 6th on last run after getting detached from the field maybe today's the day
 
  • Like
Reactions: SwanHills
My views on the FOB runners

Templepark should win, price reflects this.
Billy The Squid shouldn't win, price reflects this. Interesting money for the Pipe horse in this race and lack of support behind the Nick Williams runner.
Cheltenam De Vaige, he has form from points to suggest that he can win off this sort of mark. He however was disappointing in first two runs this season. He was too big last night in a tricky race. I think a top 3 finish would be pleasing for the yard, backed Each Way.
Kiruna Peak, she returned with a good run over fences and now gets the chance to back that up. I thought Peterborough was far too short last night so got on Kiruna in doubles, trebles and fourfolds with Templepark, Cheltenam and Ultimate Getaway.
Ultimate Getaway, twice winner in bumpers and only 3lb more today. I think today is a better race but if they let Liam dominate from the front then he is going to be a hard horse to pass. I am not confident on him, but he will be shorter than 13/8 if Kiruna and Templepark both win!

Templepark/Ultimate Getaway/Kiruna Peak all have stand out chances. Cheltenam has an each way squeek and if Billy wins then watch every other horse price crash!!
 
  • Like
Reactions: OddDog and Sugarrush
LordGyllene said:
Newton Abbot 2.20 FUKUTO

French recruit (cost 52.000) who didn't lived up to expectations in first season last year but gets fast ground today for the first time since winning at france. David Bridgewater does well with his chasers at Newton Abbot (14 in the first three from 28 runs over the last 5 seasons). There is a bit of money coming for Fukuto today.
Click to expand...
I was looking at this one and Sea's Aria last night, but when trying to decide this morning I noticed that the 7th fav in an 11 horse race was only 8/1.
There's something going on there to which I am not a party....so swerved it completely.
Nonetheless I wish you the Best of British, M'Lord.:emoticon-0148-yes:
 
When the gods tap you on the shoulder, it's wise to take notice.

There's only one Proclaimer in the 4.10 at Ayr, so it's logical to assume that we should be looking for a trip of 250 miles rather than 500. A quick check with the AA guide shows that the distance from Julie Camacho's Star Cottage stables to Ayr Racecourse is exactly 250.4 miles. That's via the M6, of course, and I'm sure that pedants in the audience will point out that you aren't allowed to 'walk' on a motorway.

Moving from divine guidance to logic, his last run rather petered out because he didn't look fully fit and Haydock appeared to be particularly testing that day. He didn't take up an entry on Monday (not soft enough), and I think today's ground should suit him very well. As I've said elsewhere, this season's 3yo ratings are very much a matter of opinion, and I've no idea whether he's well treated here or not. But on the assumption that Julie wouldn't send him this far to have a (probably) hard race without good reason, the 7-2 currently available doesn't seem too miserly.

(Exit, whistling: When I wake up, then I know I'm gonna be.....)
 
  • Like
Reactions: LG, smokethedeadbadger, Grendel and 4 others
rainermariarilke said:
When the gods tap you on the shoulder, it's wise to take notice.

There's only one Proclaimer in the 4.10 at Ayr, so it's logical to assume that we should be looking for a trip of 250 miles rather than 500. A quick check with the AA guide shows that the distance from Julie Camacho's Star Cottage stables to Ayr Racecourse is exactly 250.4 miles. That's via the M6, of course, and I'm sure that pedants in the audience will point out that you aren't allowed to 'walk' on a motorway.

Moving from divine guidance to logic, his last run rather petered out because he didn't look fully fit and Haydock appeared to be particularly testing that day. He didn't take up an entry on Monday (not soft enough), and I think today's ground should suit him very well. As I've said elsewhere, this season's 3yo ratings are very much a matter of opinion, and I've no idea whether he's well treated here or not. But on the assumption that Julie wouldn't send him this far to have a (probably) hard race without good reason, the 7-2 currently available doesn't seem too miserly.

(Exit, whistling: When I wake up, then I know I'm gonna be.....)
Click to expand...

You could always do the Parody/Proclaimer double, I’m sure the cast of thousands that own them will have their money down.
 
  • Like
Reactions: rainermariarilke
Fairly modest fare today but at Ayr I thought there was one worth chancing.

In the 5.10 Race Alpine Mistral jumps out simply because he has won his last two. The form looks decent, albeit at a lower level, and the hat-trick is definitely a possibility in this company. On the downside is the fact that the filly started her winning from a mark of 50, then followed up off 56 but she has to run from 66 now, in a slightly better class 5 race. I might have been tempted by her given the ease of her last win and the fact that the runner-up has won well since but the going is soft today and her latest win was on good to firm. She is untried on soft and may well handle it but the 10 lbs higher mark may be tougher to overcome on a more testing surface.

The one who caught my eye was Tombolo, who started off his career in a soft ground Novice race at Haydock over a mile. It was a decent enough start and he started favourite for a Redcar maiden over 7F when returning to the track as a 3YO in June, He weakened that day to finish 5th and perhaps needed the race after a long time off the track. Returned to a mile for a Ripon maiden on his third start Tombolo was 3rd best in the betting but faced an even money favourite from the Bin Suroor yard. In the end the Godolphin horse won the race Tombolo was only 4th but he looked that day like a horse who needed in excess of a mile. Upped to 10F and back to the soft ground of his debut 2nd, it is hoped that Tombolo is going to make his first venture into a Handicap race a winning one.

At the comparative odds I reckoned 6/1 on Tombolo was worth a play in the hope that the trainer has got him handicapped at mile and 7F and can now show improvement for the extra test of stamina.

5.10 Ayr Tombolo 6/1

SF Alpine Mistral/Tombolo as a saver
 
The Proclaimers surely had the most powerful spectacles in the Specsavers range:-

"When you go, will you send back a letter from America? take a look up the rail track from Miami to Canada"

Strong Varifocals, not to mention dead-eye straight railway lines.
 
Sugarrush said:
Stick or any word for the bumper winner at NA
Click to expand...

I think ULTIMATE GETAWAY wins. I actually tried to get the Don to come in with me for a share in this one but while we prevaricated he sold out in less than 24 hours. There was seemingly money for the Williams runner last runner last night and that pushed Ultimate Getaway out to 2/1. He was a bet then but 6/4 feels a bit skinny now.
Interestingly, none of the trainers in the race have had a bumper winner here in the last 5 years.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Sugarrush
I think Karastani will be the one to push Ultimate Getaway, if the wind op has the desired effect.
 
NassauBoard said:
My views on the FOB runners

Templepark should win, price reflects this.
Billy The Squid shouldn't win, price reflects this. Interesting money for the Pipe horse in this race and lack of support behind the Nick Williams runner.
Cheltenam De Vaige, he has form from points to suggest that he can win off this sort of mark. He however was disappointing in first two runs this season. He was too big last night in a tricky race. I think a top 3 finish would be pleasing for the yard, backed Each Way.
Kiruna Peak, she returned with a good run over fences and now gets the chance to back that up. I thought Peterborough was far too short last night so got on Kiruna in doubles, trebles and fourfolds with Templepark, Cheltenam and Ultimate Getaway.
Ultimate Getaway, twice winner in bumpers and only 3lb more today. I think today is a better race but if they let Liam dominate from the front then he is going to be a hard horse to pass. I am not confident on him, but he will be shorter than 13/8 if Kiruna and Templepark both win!

Templepark/Ultimate Getaway/Kiruna Peak all have stand out chances. Cheltenam has an each way squeek and if Billy wins then watch every other horse price crash!!
Click to expand...

Shaping up to be a good day Nass <ok>
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top Bottom
Back