I'm sure quite a few on here have looked (worried even ) at the different permutations using an online predictor, it be interesting to see how everyone sees the final table come May 11th my predictions are listed below - would be interesting to see how it compares to everyone else http://www.the-mustard.com/predictor_trad.html add your predictions to this thread if you have the time or the inclination cheers
I've got us staying up by 2 points, with Nowich bottom, Cardiff, then Fulham. Villa level on points with us, as a note, I put us down for Cardiff win 2-1 United lose 2-1 West Brom 1-1 Swansea win 1-0
I have Fulham bottom, Cardiff then Norwich but i am ****e at these predictions, however if that remains the case then i will be happy. I have Liverpool as champions although I have predicted a 3-3 draw with Chelsea - told you i was ****e
There are so many permutations. I played around with it at lunch time, and had us anywhere from 13th to 17th. It's also quite possible to get a scenario where Villa or West Brom go down along with Cardiff and Norwich (who both seem nailed on to me) without putting any overly surprising results in. I start like this. All remaining games won by the home team 1-0: Current top 4 teams get an extra 2 goals a match, 5th to 7th get one extra goal: Hull are pretty close, let's give them just a draw against Stoke and a loss to Everton: and there you go, that's my one for now.
Ive got us staying up on 34 poits by goal diff thats giving fulham a win and a draw and us 1 win 2draws
I've got us staying up, safe by 4 points ahead of WBA, Norwich, Cardiff and Fulham (20th). That was based on two wins (WBA and Cardiff), a draw (Swans) and a loss (OT). I only reckoned Fulham and Cardiff would pick up another point each, and none for Norwich. I'll now head straight for Specsavers to try and sort out this rose-tinted vision problem..
Club Pld GD Pts 1.5 1 Liverpool 38 60 89 1.9 2 Man City 38 64 86 2.5 3 Chelsea 38 47 81 4.2 4 Arsenal 38 32 79 4.8 5 Everton 38 26 75 6.4 6 Tottenham 38 5 72 6.6 7 Man Utd 38 22 67 8.3 8 Southaton 38 4 52 9.6 9 Stoke 38 -9 50 10.7 10 C Palace 38 -17 46 9.6 11 Newcastle 38 -27 46 13.0 12 Swansea 38 -4 40 13.5 13 West Ham 38 -12 38 15.1 14 Aston Villa 38 -17 38 14.0 15 Hull City 38 -17 30 16.6 16 Sunderland38 -22 37 15.8 17 West Brom38 -18 34 19.2 18 Cardiff 38 -37 33 18.8 19 Norwich 38 -36 32 18.2 20 Fulham 38 -44 31
I can't remember the exact table but i had us on 37 points and staying up. That's all that matters really.
I had us staying up on goal difference over Fulham. I gave us a win and 2 draws. I think what ever happens if we beat Cardiff I think it goes down to the last game of the season. We play Swansea who have nothing to play for. A draw against Cardiff wouldn't be the end of the world. I worry that WBA seem to always do well at the SOL.
This is what mine came up with 1 Liverpool 38 57 89 2 Man City 38 62 84 3 Chelsea 38 44 81 4 Arsenal 38 25 79 5 Everton 38 26 76 6 Tottenham 38 4 70 7 Man Utd 38 21 67 8 Southampton 38 4 51 9 Stoke 38 -8 51 10 Newcastle 38 -19 47 11 C Palace 38 -17 44 12 Swansea 38 -4 40 13 West Ham 38 -13 38 14 Hull City 38 -13 38 15 Aston Villa 38 -18 36 16 Sunderland38 -23 36 17 West Brom 38 -15 35 18 Norwich 38 -33 32 19 Fulham 38 -43 32 20 Cardiff 38 -37 31 Easily stay in the Premier. . . what was a the fuss about
I have us drawing with Cardiff, losing to Man U, but beating West Brom and Swansea which puts us on 36 points and we stay up. I have Fulham, Villa and West Brom all on 35 and Fulham go down on goal difference.
By my calculations 2 wins (6 points) is what we need statistically to have a better than 50/50 chance to stay up. 3 wins and were almost certainly safe. A win at the weekend would really make a big difference to our chances.