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Tuesday October 1st Daily Thread

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by ROTO, Sep 30, 2013.

  1. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    One for me so far tomorrow in the shape of 3.15 Ayr Gran Canaria Queen 6/1. Write up to come but I think she has got an outstanding chance of winning tomorrow.
     
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  2. Bostonbob

    Bostonbob Well-Known Member

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    She battered her side of the race LTO. Definitely up to winning this race and she's now 4/1 in places.
     
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  3. Bucks

    Bucks Member

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    Just had a look at the Kempton card, will do the others tomorrow. One at Kempton takes my eye at the price:

    Kempton 8.50 Only Ten Percent 10/1 E/W - 2LB below LWM, drops back a furlong but gets the visor applied tonight and the assistance in the saddle of SDS who is 3/8 when teaming up with trainer J Jenkins.

    Best of luck all <cheers>
     
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  4. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Can anyone help me work out how the handicapper has given Cinevator a rating of 132 for his handicap chase debut tomorrow? Top rating over hurdles was 120, had 1 run over fences which he won by 6 lengths from a horse who was given a handicap rating of 93 (and has since been hammered off that rating). Doesn't add up.
     
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  5. rudebwoy

    rudebwoy Well-Known Member

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    thank **** for that--able to post again-- congratulations to all over the last few days-- magnificent bookie bashing on here!!

    Tomorrow we have some decent horses out at chepstow--Gassin Golf will surely be warm fav in the first--will watch unless the price is 'value'-- i do like evan williams Brassick in that 3 40 --should be a decent race.

    I see fergal o'brien --who's been in hot form has one at chepstow--but a few up at sedgefield--paddy brennan goes up for two for him , both need a look--particularly the Bumper horse.

    Kempton --Varian sends the gelded Chelwood Gate out , unfortunately with spencer on its back--owners choice ?-- may well be worth a dabble at the likely odds.

    like many on here, thanks to stick for his info on the longsden winners--and ROTO--kept the faith with Educate-- Murtagh was keen--'felt like a pattern horse' at haydock --when he would surely have won apart from the stumble.....and hats off to everyne else !!
     
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  6. Bostonbob

    Bostonbob Well-Known Member

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    Bombardero for the good dr
     
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  7. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    SINBAD THE SAILOR 14-1 2.30 Chepstow is worth an each way dabble. Still very lightly raced and open to improvement over hurdles and could make a mockery of that mark. Ran a decent race behind Prescotts improving AW stayer on the flat recently so should come here fit and well. Ran Teenage Kicks close off a higher mark than this and a reproduction of that form would probably be good enough to see him go very close here.
     
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  8. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    It's my pleasure to do my bit in the "good fight" rudey. I still have a few nuggets up my sleeve that I am only going to be too happy to share.

    Brilliant stuff on here day in and day out from so many knowledgeable racing fans who just want to help each other...love it!

    PS; where is my mate pbew lately?
     
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  9. SaveTheHumans

    SaveTheHumans Well-Known Member

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    Stick have you any heard any word about a Longsdon horse called Court Appeal and when we will likely see him?
     
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  10. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    You are unlikely to see him until the new year as they don't want to rush him and will not race until there is plenty of give in the ground. A lovely youngster and highly thought of!
     
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  11. SaveTheHumans

    SaveTheHumans Well-Known Member

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    Ok cheers stick, I will be keeping my eyes out for when he does get to the track and good to hear they think he may be useful also <ok>
     
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  12. Harbottle

    Harbottle Active Member

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    As short as 7/2 now at 00.37.
     
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  13. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    3.15 Ayr

    Gran Canaria Queen 6/1


    Tim Easterby's 4 year old filly Gran Canaria Queen has been very progressive this year having notched up 4 wins and on her latest start she ran a brilliant race when destroying her unfavoured side of the field in a tough handicap at the Ayr Festival over 5f by over 4L and off an unchanged mark I think she has an outstanding chance of winning this today. Grand Canaria Queen started notched her first win of the year with a ready success at Hamilton off a mark of 51 back in July and having missed the break on her next start she resumed winning ways with a very easy success off a mark of 56 at Thirsk over 6f at the start of August on what would be the start of a hat trick of wins. Unpenalised for that win in an apprentice handicap, she won again comfortably a week later at Haydock over 5f before she defied a 9lb rise at Newcastle when winning a 4 runner contest at Newcastle by 1.75L from the improving Dartrix with the 9L back to the 3rd towards the end of August. She was given a 5lb rise to her current mark of 70 for that success and for one reason or another she bombed out on her attempt for a 4 timer at Hamilton when disappointing as favourite at the start of September. However, she proved that was just a blip when posting a fantastic and arguably very unlucky effort at Ayr over 5f 12 days ago when coming home a 2.75L beaten 4th in a competitive 20 runner handicap as she was drawn on the wrong side of the track. Racing on the far side which proved to be the wrong place to be in all the big sprints that weekend, Gran Canaria Queen pulled clear of her side of the track over 2f out and although she finished over 4L clear of the far side group she unfortunately found 3 too good on the stands side rail. If she had been on the stands side of the track as opposed to the far side, she would definitely have been there bang at the finish and I definitely think she can gain compensation today off an unchanged mark. Carrying top weight of 9-7 today like she did on her last start, she's going to have to give quite a bit of weight away to a lot of her rivals but she proved LTO that she can do so and I think she's going to take an awful lot of beating. David Allan, who was on board for 2 of her wins this year, takes the ride and he clearly gets on very well with this 4 year old filly. Seemingly effective on all ground, I expect Gran Canaria Queen to track what should be a good pace from her draw in stall 4 and this progressive filly should take quite a lot of beating as she should gain compensation today with her 5th win of the season.
     
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  14. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Morning all. I hear Stick gave Boug a good word on Saturday, and everyone seems to be pinging in the winners. Really glad to see Bouggler win, a favourite of mine.

    Another favourite of mine starts off his season today and is odds against in a maiden hurdle. The horse is Creepy, and he is a lovely looking sort, who ran a belter at HQ on his final run last year. That form is good and he looks a really nice type going forward.

    GL all
     
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  15. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Morning, troops. I haven&#8217;t visited the forum since last Friday but must admit to having cheered like a banshee for old boy Bouggler from about 6 out on Saturday. One of the great horses of 6-0-6 who delivered in some style at the weekend.

    Nothing for yours truly today but the highlight must be the return to action of dear old Andy Tinkles, following a few months on the sidelines, up at Sedgefield this afvo in the card commencer (2.20). You can get 100/1 about the forum&#8217;s favourite, &#8216;back up&#8217; saddle monkey, making a winning return though!

    Good luck all.
     
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  16. DreverSpur

    DreverSpur Well-Known Member

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    Morning all, Lucky 15 for me...

    2:30 Chepstow - Nicky Nutjob 18/1
    3:05 Chepstow - Tribal Dance 25/1
    3:15 Ayr - Gran Canaria Queen 10/3
    3:40 Chepstow - Brassick 9/2


    Good luck all!!
     
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  17. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Major Headline Breaking News from the BBC:




















































































    "Danny Dyer to take over EastEnders' Queen Vic"


    <doh>
     
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  18. SaveTheHumans

    SaveTheHumans Well-Known Member

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    Meshardal 14/1 Ayr 3:15-Better was expected last time out at Caterrick even though the horse finished 4th and only 3 1/2 lengths behind the now 73 rated George Fenton who failed in his bid for a hat-rick at Wolverhampton on Saturday last. That race was over 7 furlongs and it looked as if Meshardal tired in the last furlong when looking to challenge, today he drops back to 6 furlongs with the hope it can eke out a little more improvement in form. Meshardal had an opening mark of 68 for his Handicap debut and has now dropped to a mark of 56 for today, the ground will be fine once no firm is in the description and although the horse has placed only once in 7 starts, that being in a maiden back in May he can definatly put up a better showing than his recent form suggests and in the capable hands of PJ McDonald he rates a sporting each way bet for me today.

    Good Luck to everyone.
     
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  19. You See

    You See Well-Known Member

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    Afternoon all
    Not a lot of value today I see everyone is on gran conaria I really liked the chances on mysterious wonder but nr now I was going to go for thetricast in and outwith the two mentioned and alexandrokollontai sonow rev forcast on them plus alex in a double with beat the tide.
    Good luck all

    STICK I HOPE YOU HAVEN'T UPSET OUR FRIEND PBEW LOL
     
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  20. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    That'll do, nice enough from Creepy, made to work but was impressive enough in maiden company.
     
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