I dont profess to being an AW expert, there are many far more knowledgeable on here than me in that sphere but I really fancy one at Southwell in the 4.15 tomorrow. The horse is Michael Bell's HOLY EMPRESS 9-1 and the reasons are as follows. a) The filly hasnt been hard pushed to show her best yet. b) The yard is in form c) The filly finished thirteen lengths in front of the favourite (Samasana) at Kempton d) 9-1 rates cracking value
Little Johnny goes to school, and the teacher says, 'Today we are going to learn multi-syllable words, class. Does anybody have an example of a multi-syllable word?' Little Johnny waves his hand, 'Me, Miss Rogers, me, me!' Miss Rogers:'All right, little Johnny, what is your multi-syllable word?' Little Johnny says, 'Mas-tur-bate.' Miss Rogers smiles and says, 'Wow, little Johnny, that's a mouthful.' Little Johnny says, 'No, Miss Rogers, you're thinking of a blowjob".
2.00 Suddenly Susan - I think the race is framed for this horse and I can't believe the price she was last night. If this was at Southwell she would be evens. If Raul sets the fractions right I think she will win comfortably, she shouldn't get taken on for the lead, and that should be key. Absa Lutte and Perlachy are both closers but they probably won't be suited by the stop start pace Raul should set. Steelcut could be the main danger, but is one that doesn't win as often as he should. A filly in form is one to follow. 2.15 Claretintheblood Another who was a big price last night, and I wasn't sure why B365 priced him up at such big odds. He is a course winner who impressed me with how he took to the surface. This race is pretty weak, and with the exception of Laura's Bairn (also vastly overpriced) and Heidi's Delight, this horse is one who should relish the conditions and has shown enough to win a race of this nature. Two singles and a double.
Morning gents, hope we are all warm n cosy today as its certainly a fresh n frosty one...!!! Shock of all shocks no jumps today so we return to the AW racing again... Oh joy...!!! So i will sharpen them darts and see what i can hit... I did get a text from a mate of mine saying exactly the same thing about Suddenly Susan... So Nass im with you on her as well...
Morning, one. Morning, all. No appearance from the ‘rarely spotted NH fixture’ today but there are quite reasonable AW cards. Quite a few punts going on as well as it would appear there are a few ‘steamers’ in the markets this morn. I won’t put up any of these but a couple at Wolverhampton who I think both should be odds-on but in fact aren’t: Bond Style (2.30) – Improving colt who has been placed in his last 2 runs on Southwell Sands. His form looks solid as the horse immediately behind him (4.5 lengths in arrears though) on Bond Style’s penultimate run has subsequently won off 61 whilst 5 days ago he gave weight to a filly and was only just touched off – she is now rated 66. The opposition meanwhile don’t look like the strongest ever assembled whereas Bond Style looks most progressive. Also the champ, Paul Hanagan, takes over in the saddle today. Kie (4.00) – Another ride for Hanagan on a gelding rated just 49. However, since his last run on the old level Kie has been a revelation over hurdles as he has won twice and being placed at both Listed and Grade 2 level earning a hurdling mark of 128 in the process. If Kie shows even a modicum of this level of improvement, back on the flat, then he should score with ease against what are really selling platers. Good luck all.
Sir Barney would it be impudent of me to point out the grammatical error in your footnote - surely the apostrophe at the end of "Royal's" is surplus to requirements?
You are, of course, correct Oddy and I can confirm that the malady has been rectified. My head is hung in shame.
The ‘rarely spotted NH fixture’ will be absent again tomorrow as Carlisle, Lingfield Park and Ludlow have now all gone. How long before the clamour commences for the reintroduction of ‘bumpers for jumpers’?!?
Jumpers bumpers will be returning at Kempton if their NH card is off later in the week. Newbury odds on to be off, if you get my drift.
"The BHA could also announce plans for an all-weather 'bumpers-for-jumpers' card at Kempton on Friday, should the track lose its jumps meeting slated for that day."
That’s great news. ‘Bumpers for jumpers’ was one of those truly barmy decisions that actually worked. Yeah, if I was having a wager I’d regrettably be getting on Newbury being off as opposed to on, unfortunately. Hope I’m wrong (and rumour has it that I have been before) but it would appear that the temperatures just aren’t going to be getting much above about 2-3 degrees all week.
I've seen two very contrasting forecasts. This one - http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoforecasts/forregdaily.aspx - which would give it zero chance of being on. Down to -5 overnight on Friday and not getting above freezing until 3pm Saturday afternoon. This one - http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/newbury_forecast_temp.html - which would give it 100% chance of being on. Down to only 1 overnight and up to 3 during Saturday. No idea which to believe but just hope the Met Office is right. I think it will depend on how quickly the new air is blown across. The pessimistic forecast predicts it to warm up a lot by Monday so hopefully they are just a couple of days late!
That is fine though Sir Barney. The course is not frozen under the covers (at the moment) and there is no snow lying on the course either. The only doubt is whether it will be warm enough to get the covers off on Saturday morning. There is also the possibility of the ground freezing under the covers but it isn't forecast to be that bad.
I had a long look at KIE last night and was put off by the fact that it quite patently finished distressed on its last run over hurdles. You never know if these things have left their mark so at such short odds I elected toeave it alone. Good luck though.
