1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

The Remainder of the Season 24/25

Discussion in 'Charlton' started by ElfsborgAddick, Jan 1, 2025.

  1. ElfsborgAddick

    ElfsborgAddick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2015
    Messages:
    19,193
    Likes Received:
    9,739
    Whilst we cannot do anything about a postponement, other teams played and accumulated points around us.

    We have Reading at home, then Rotherham and Bolton away in our next three league games.

    After these three games it could make for painful viewing of the league table.
     
    #1
  2. lardiman

    lardiman We can rebuild him
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Mar 6, 2016
    Messages:
    13,610
    Likes Received:
    9,486
    Reading, Rotherham, Bolton - all winnable games for a Club competing for a play-off place.

    We need 7 points (absolute minimum 6) from those matches.
     
    #2
  3. Part Time Crombie Model

    Part Time Crombie Model Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 18, 2024
    Messages:
    3,348
    Likes Received:
    4,608
    I am convinced we will finish 8th - 11th.

    The quality just isn’t there.

    We are always a couple of injuries / suspensions away from a dramatic slump.

    Lloyd Jones & Miles Leaburn basically = our season.
     
    #3
    ElfsborgAddick likes this.
  4. Watameire

    Watameire Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2023
    Messages:
    546
    Likes Received:
    607
    Just looked at the table and see that if we win our games in hand we move into sixth - COYA !
     
    #4
    Smudger603 likes this.
  5. ElfsborgAddick

    ElfsborgAddick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2015
    Messages:
    19,193
    Likes Received:
    9,739
    Exactly, we cannot afford to lose games, we have to carry on this run to even scrape into fifth or sixth.
     
    #5
  6. ElfsborgAddick

    ElfsborgAddick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2015
    Messages:
    19,193
    Likes Received:
    9,739
    Rotherham and Bolton away for the next two league games.
    IF we could get four points from those it could set us up nice for the next two games at home to Shrewsbury and Bristol Rovers.
    Either way, this has been another s*** season so far, the quality in the division is shocking and highlights how poor GFP have been with recruitment.
     
    #6
  7. lardiman

    lardiman We can rebuild him
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Mar 6, 2016
    Messages:
    13,610
    Likes Received:
    9,486
    Despite our inability to actually win a game we 'should' have won today, Charlton have still taken 10 points from a possible 12 since the weekend before Christmas.
    Not bad form at all you might say.

    Yet we are still 7 points off 6th place.
    I'm not certain, but I don't think that the gap has decreased at all since our unbeaten run began.
    And we've climbed three places in the league.

    That's how difficult it is yo keep pace with real promotion chasing teams.
    Granted we had a game postponed. But that's going to happen randomly when the weather is bad. It's just life.

    To even close the gap below the top 6 to a couple of points we will probably have to win 5 or 6 of our next 8 games.
    Because that's what most of the current top 6 teams will likely achieve.

    Are we going to do that? :emoticon-0145-shake
     
    #7
    ElfsborgAddick likes this.
  8. ElfsborgAddick

    ElfsborgAddick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2015
    Messages:
    19,193
    Likes Received:
    9,739
    We cannot afford to lose games and atm we can easily be dropping places after Rotherham and Bolton away games.
     
    #8
  9. lardiman

    lardiman We can rebuild him
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Mar 6, 2016
    Messages:
    13,610
    Likes Received:
    9,486
    Looking at the top 6 teams at this point, all of them have a win rate over 50% except Barnsley (5th) who have a 48% win rate.

    Charlton's win rate in the league is 39%.
    Nine wins from 23 played.

    To get our win rate up to 50% (usually enough for a top 6 place) Charlton will need to win 14 of our remaining 23 games.
    So our second half of the season win rate has to climb to 61%.

    Not impossible, but extremely unlikely.
     
    #9
    Watameire likes this.
  10. ElfsborgAddick

    ElfsborgAddick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2015
    Messages:
    19,193
    Likes Received:
    9,739
    Huddersfield won at Wycombe tonight making us 13 points behind 4th place<laugh>.
    It's not looking good for a play-off spot.
     
    #10

  11. lardiman

    lardiman We can rebuild him
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Mar 6, 2016
    Messages:
    13,610
    Likes Received:
    9,486
    There are 16 Saturdays between 18th January and the last day of the regular season (3rd May).
    So 15 mid-week slots.

    With 23 games still to play in League One Charlton will have to play on 7 of those 15 midweek dates.
    And that is assuming that no more Saturday or midweek games are postponed.

    With that in mind, a Cup run (albeit unlikely) could complicate matters still further.
     
    #11
    ElfsborgAddick likes this.
  12. Part Time Crombie Model

    Part Time Crombie Model Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 18, 2024
    Messages:
    3,348
    Likes Received:
    4,608
    Kipling once wrote a poem called “If” …
     
    #12
  13. ElfsborgAddick

    ElfsborgAddick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2015
    Messages:
    19,193
    Likes Received:
    9,739
    And an old saying, "if your aunt had balls she'd have been your uncle".
     
    #13
  14. ElfsborgAddick

    ElfsborgAddick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2015
    Messages:
    19,193
    Likes Received:
    9,739
    Orient and Huddersfield are now a point further away from us, Lincoln are winning at present that puts us down one place.
    Yet some still think we can get into the play-offs!
     
    #14
  15. Smudger603

    Smudger603 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2018
    Messages:
    6,660
    Likes Received:
    5,119
    We have games in hand with the teams above us other than the mighty Mansfield so we could creep up a little :emoticon-0148-yes:
     
    #15
  16. ElfsborgAddick

    ElfsborgAddick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2015
    Messages:
    19,193
    Likes Received:
    9,739
    We're losing 1-0, better to have points in the bag.
     
    #16
  17. Smudger603

    Smudger603 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2018
    Messages:
    6,660
    Likes Received:
    5,119
    2-0 actually :emoticon-0148-yes:
     
    #17
    ElfsborgAddick likes this.
  18. ElfsborgAddick

    ElfsborgAddick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2015
    Messages:
    19,193
    Likes Received:
    9,739
    <laugh>
     
    #18
  19. Smudger603

    Smudger603 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2018
    Messages:
    6,660
    Likes Received:
    5,119
  20. The Penguin

    The Penguin Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 13, 2020
    Messages:
    6,528
    Likes Received:
    6,084
    Good description. Every season in L1 is a season of decline, especially if we don't compete for promotion. We will not survive like this indefinitely. NJ is alone in thinking we have a Championship squad, and look, I don't like having a manager who makes such stupid statements.
     
    #20
    Smudger603 and lardiman like this.

Share This Page