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The maths is simple...

Discussion in 'Queens Park Rangers' started by simonstainrod, Mar 17, 2013.

  1. simonstainrod

    simonstainrod Well-Known Member

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    to stay up we have to win 3 more games than either southampton, sunderland or villa. Sunderland have got horrible fixtures but at this stage of the season, form tends to go out of the window, as we proved last season.
    So, 3 more wins than any one of those 3 sides. The question is, is it do-able?
     
    #1
    simonstainrod, Mar 17, 2013
  2. Secret ranger

    Secret ranger New Member

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    No
     
    #2
    Secret ranger, Mar 17, 2013
  3. sku

    sku Well-Known Member

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    OK - here's the rose-tinted version. I don't believe it totally, but it helps to make your argument less abstract.

    Let's make three assumptions:

    1. All five teams above QPR fail to win another match.
    2. All five teams above QPR draw the matches that that 'on paper' seem winnable and lose those that 'on paper' look tough.
    3. By contrast, QPR win their matches that 'on paper' seem winnable and draw those that 'on paper' look tough.

    Sunderland V Man Utd L 0
    Chelsea V Sunderland L 0
    Newcastle V Sunderland D 1
    Sunderland V Everton L 0
    Aston Villa V Sunderland D 1
    Sunderland V Stoke D 1
    Sunderland V Southampton D 1
    Tottenham V Sunderland L 0
    4

    Southampton V Chelsea L 0
    Reading V Southampton D 1
    Southampton V West Ham L 0
    Swansea V Southampton L 0
    Southampton V West Brom D 1
    Tottenham V Southampton L 0
    Sunderland V Southampton D 1
    Southampton V Stoke D 1
    4

    Aston Villa V Liverpool L 0
    Stoke V Aston Villa D 1
    Aston Villa V Fulham D 1
    Man Utd V Aston Villa L 0
    Aston Villa V Sunderland D 1
    Norwich V Aston Villa D 1
    Aston Villa V Chelsea L 0
    Wigan V Aston Villa D 1
    5

    Wigan V Newcastle L 0
    Wigan V Norwich D 1
    QPR V Wigan L 0
    Man City V Wigan L 0
    West Ham V Wigan D 1
    Wigan V Tottenham L 0
    West Brom V Wigan D 1
    Wigan V Swansea D 1
    Arsenal V Wigan L 0
    Wigan V Aston Villa D 1
    5

    Arsenal V Reading L 0
    Reading V Southampton D 1
    Reading V Liverpool L 0
    Norwich V Reading D 1
    Reading V QPR L 0
    Fulham V Reading D 1
    Reading V Man City L 0
    West Ham V Reading D 1
    4

    Fulham V QPR W 3
    QPR V Wigan W 3
    Everton V QPR D 1
    QPR V Stoke W 3
    Reading V QPR W 3
    QPR V Arsenal D 1
    QPR V Newcastle D 1
    Liverpool V QPR D 1
    16
     
    #3
    sku, Mar 17, 2013
  4. simonstainrod

    simonstainrod Well-Known Member

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    if we got luck like Wigan have just had - a handball winner in the 90th minute - anything's possible. Sadly, we've had no luck at all this year
     
    #4
    simonstainrod, Mar 17, 2013
  5. QPR999

    QPR999 Well-Known Member Staff Member

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    It can still be done. Not impossible, but improbable.
     
    #5
    QPR999, Mar 17, 2013

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