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Stupid predictions

Discussion in 'Charlton' started by IA, Apr 7, 2013.

  1. IA

    IA Active Member

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    I had a play with the BBC predictor, tried not to be too biased.

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_div_1/predictor/default.stm

    Here's what I got.

    Cardiff champions, Watford in 2nd.

    Hull, Forest, Brighton and Bolton in the playoffs. Palace missing out on the last day of the season.

    Charlton finishing 12th, on 61 points, ahead of Millwall on goal difference.

    Blackburn, Wolves and Bristol City relegated, Blackburn and Wolves on 52 points each. Huddersfield somehow climbing out on the last day.

    I still have Hudds down for relegation in my mind, but thought it was interesting. Anyone else want to share their predictions?
     
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  2. ForestHillBilly

    ForestHillBilly Well-Known Member

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    Cardiff champions Watford 2nd

    Hull Forest Brighton and Leicester in the playoffs, Palace miss out by 3 points

    Leeds, Udders and Brizzle go down.

    We finish 14th on 60 points, 3 points behind Millwall.

    Can't believe my own predictions!
     
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  3. IA

    IA Active Member

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    I also did a worst case scenario, where the lowest placed team wins every match from now until the end of the season, apart from matches involving Charlton, which we lose.

    In that case, the bottom 5 would be

    Wolves 60
    Blackburn 59
    Huddersfield 57
    Bristol City 55
    Charlton 54

    So I think 60 points would be the absolute maximum needed to survive, although I think a win against Wolves would likely be enough even in the worst case.

    66 points for the playoffs if results went in that way
     
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  4. Bitter & Malicious

    Bitter & Malicious Well-Known Member

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    Did you allow for the fact that many of their matches will be against each other, so they cannot all get maximum points?
     
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  5. deleted.....

    deleted..... Well-Known Member

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    On the BBC Predictor Eddie you have to..... you go through each week and predict the results then the BBC website calculates the final table for you <ok>
     
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  6. IA

    IA Active Member

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    Yes, and each week I 'predicted' that the lowest placed team on the day would win each match. I guess there probably is an 'even worse' scenario in which Bristol City lose all their matches, and everyone else wins as many as possible, maximising the points for the team in 22nd, by having lower points for 23rd and 24th, but I think the only difference with that would be giving Huddersfield another 3 points, but still 60 points for safety (given their goal difference). I had a lot of teams on 60 points anyway.

    This set of results would be extremely unlikely, and involves teams chasing promotion losing every time to those fighting relegation.

    Give it a try yourself.
     
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  7. Addick4Life

    Addick4Life Active Member
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    Strange isnt it... We finish 10th or above and we end up higher than the season when we first got relegated from the Premiership - Goes to show that we really have come through some dark days over recent seasons
     
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  8. Bitter & Malicious

    Bitter & Malicious Well-Known Member

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    No thanks. Sums hurt my brain.
     
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  9. IA

    IA Active Member

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    Try the link in the opening post
     
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  10. CAFC Room101

    CAFC Room101 Member

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    so just did an aptly named 'stupid prediction' where we win all our remaining games and the other results are largely random based on what think might happen although for some reason palace and bolton don't pick up many points (or leicester or forrest for that matter).

    Cardiff
    Hull
    watford
    Brighton
    crystal palace
    charlton

    Still it's a nice dream at least untill tomorrow...
     
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  11. Sat In Greenwich

    Sat In Greenwich Well-Known Member

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    i have us finishing in 8th on 67 points.
     
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