Thought i would start the thread for the first time. Following ROTO tomorrow with Educate was on LTO aswell and will continue until it loses. Interested in Grumeti tomorrow in the Scottish Champion hurdle, is it a grade 1 winner vs handicappers? 9/2 looks massive. He has had his issues and is giving weight away all round but his form is a class above the rest. The only issue i would have is he hasnt run on soft ground but has won on Good to soft. However the weather on the west coast(im about 10 miles away from Ayr) has been superb all day and a lovely breeze so i can definitely see the ground improving before tomorrow.
I also like grumeti too but Une Artiste is an intresting runner too. Have put olympic glory in quite a few multiples as i thinl he is a sure thing tomorrow! Including a farily big double on Olympic Glory and Noble Mission also Olympic Glory and Rodshu Queen One interesting runner is Venetias runner Rigadin du Beauchene! And at 20/1 is worth a small ew punt! As he hasnt been out the 1st 3 cept for lto when he was pulled up
The Scottish National is the usual nightmare, and I'm going with Monsieur Cadou (14-1) who arrives there fresher than most. I agree Grumeti is the class act in the SH but I think Sametegal will give the Nicholls camp some Cheltenham consolation - there is no Our Conor or Far West this time! Also at Ayr, Tap Night should be untouchable, and although 13-8 is short enough, a winner is a winner, to coin a phrase
Also got tap night in a double with olympic glory and a small treble with Noble Mission lol so if olympic glory loses im screwd lol
4.25 Ayr Kian's Delight 8/1 e/w 3.55 Nass Leitir Moor 11/4 2.20 Newbury Educate 8/1 (ante post) win and e/w 2.55 Newbury Maureen 7/2
2.20 Newbury Educate 13/2 If any of you can remember back to 2011 I advised Murura (very sadly no longer with us) as the biggest bet in my life and Educate tomorrow will be next in the pecking order with regards to the size of my bets as I am utterly convinced he will win this and win this very well. There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that Educate is considerably better than his mark of 93 and Ismail Mohammed's extremely progressive 4 year old has nowhere near stopped his improvement yet. A gelding operation has turned him from a maniac with immense potential into a horse that is able to showcase those talents on the racecourse. On countless occasions prior to the snip, he wasn't beaten all that far despite veering all over the place when asked to quicken but Educate is now 3-3 since the operation which has allowed him to show hs true ability as he aims to score for the 4th time in succession. Firstly, he scored off a mark of 76 at Sandown over a mile on good to firm ground when winning decisively which was,in the end in a pretty poor looking contest but he clearly improved significantly again when running out a supremely impressive winner on his final start when thumping a competitive field over 10f at York in October off a mark of 80 in heavy ground under top weight. A step slow and held up in the final pair under Jamie Spencer, Educate was still at the rear of the field when swinging into the home straight but he made persistent progress through the field before coming with a long, sustained challenge in the final 3f which saw Spencer never resort to using the whip and he was well on top to score by 1.5L. I felt that was an extremely impressive performance (apparently he hated the ground) and his mark was justifiably raised to 8lb to a mark of 88. He took the winter off where he was reported to have grown significantly and he certainly showed this when winning the Spring Mile at Doncaster 3 weeks ago. In the lead up to the race, Ismail Mohammed's yard planner Terry Norman blogged about the horses chances and stated a myriad of concerns. Firstly, he stated that he hadn't been working overly well when confined to the AW gallops which he has been he hated (Echo Of Light progeny don't seem to like the surface). Furthermore, he wasn't nearly 100% fit after a mistimed preparation and would apparently come on for the run an awful lot. Despite all of this, Educate showed his class, determination and downright doggedness to score by a head. Held up in the midfield by Liam Jones, Educate travelled into the race nicely on soft ground (which Terry Norman is adamant he doesn't like) as he sat close enough to the pace. With about 1.5f to go, Elaine Burke's Boots And Spurs had a nearly 3L break on the field but Educate really started motoring late on as he got up to score by a narrow margin. Although the runner up has since disappointed at Windsor, it doesn't bother me in the slightest given that the Educate to win at Doncaster is not the horse we will see tomorrow with connections admitting they were "surprised" to see him win that day. The 5lb rise to a mark of 93 is more than fair for that victory and I fully expect him to have come on a stone for the run. Unlike his last run, the reports have been glowing about his preparation with Terry Norman reporting that he did his best piece of work ever at Newbury last week where he pulled 5L clear of Mubtadi (apparently an exceptional work horse) who was cantering all over him prior to his Doncaster success. Moreover, has apparently shed all the excess weight he built up over the winter and now has his girth done up 2 holes tighter with Educate described as being a much more mentally alert and physically fit horse. His preparation has seemed ideal and I could not be more confident about his chances of success. People may brand me mad for having such a large bet on horse who is competing in a 25 runner field but barring interference I just can't see him being beaten. A lot of his opposition look exposed and those that look on decent marks certainly don't looked chucked in on official rating. Educate, however, is definitely on a very good mark in my opinion and undoubtedly the best is yet to come. Although I would prefer had he been drawn in a stall a little more central then 4, Laffan in stall 9 should go off at a very quick pace for those drawn low if they don't all rain in a group down the middle (which I expect them to do). Additionally, the ground should be a lot better then he has encountered the last twice and I expect we will see an even more impressive horse on the quicker going. Trainer Ismail Mohammed has his horses in stunning form this year with a fantastic 8 winners from 11 runners and I am convinced Educate will get that number up to 9 tomorrow. This son of Echo Of Light very much reminds me of Maarek last season and I definitely think we can expect a very similar season for Educate this year and it wouldn't surprise me in the slightest if he rounds of the tail end of the season competing in Group Races. I don't think I could have emphasised in Educate tomorrow and all he needs to do is go on and win this - and I fully expect tomorrow that he will do just that in extremely impressive fashion.
Stunning write up ROTO very much looking forward to the race now. Sacre Toi is running out of the handicap tomorrow, im liking his chances off a featherweight and a course and distance winner. Have put on an EW Lucky 15 tonight. Educate @ 13/2 (ROTO) Sacre Toi @ 6/1 Grumeti @ 9/2 Mayfield Girl @ 9/2 (SMP)
Have sided with the queens runner Border Legend 9/1 in the same raceI Won his maiden very well and impressed me in some big handicaps last yr ones like this! I feeloff this mark he is massivley unexposed and with hayley getting better and better every season he too has a massive chance and have put bit on him!
LARGE AND IN CHARGE on rotos selection. Tap night and Olympic glory double. Plus Mayfield girl ew that I put up in the other thread if the 6s are still about.
The 4.05 Newbury looks a competitive maiden and with Cecils 2000 Guineas entrant Kyllachy Rise, it will take a good one to win. With that being said, there are two very interesting runners with experience. Ed Walkers Glorious Protector looked a nailed on improver on his hands and heels 6th behind TELESCOPE in his maiden last year, and he will do so- but possibly over further? The other horse for me I was looking forward to seeing as a 3 year old and that is NUMBER ONE LONDON 12/1. This horse was 7th on debut, very green under pressure behind SNOW KING and TELESCOPE at Ascot, and then ran 3rd on 2nd start. On a bare glance, that would look disappointing. However, if any of you have chance to watch that second run at Newmarket in October, you will see the horse run very green but as soon as hitting the rising ground he stays on like a steam train to somehow grab 3rd, having trailed by 5 lengths with just half a furlong to go! Newburys galloping track should suit and hopefully this horse has filled his frame this season as he looked a bit weak last year. Tonnes of potential and Meehan threatened a big price winner this week in the form of Red Rocker at Newmarket. In the 4:40, I take the complete opposite approach. I will be punting on a bit of guesswork and therefore I will play small stakes. FEEL LIKE DANCING 10/1 is a John Gosden Derby entrant and is a Galileo colt out of a dam called MAID OF KILEEN, who produced INDIAN INK- a 6 length Group 1 Cornation Stakes winner at Royal Ascot! I noticed that the dam has always been associated with Aga Khan sires but the last twice has been 'seen to' by Galileo and since then Sea The Stars.
I would not say you are mad ROTO, as you state in your write up for having your second largest bet ever in such a competitive field, but you are certainly very brave. When I take a big breath and place one of those bets it's usually in 7 runner race and priced about 7-4, and I am doing it because I cannot see any opposition at all and feel it should be 4-6. A field that big so early into a new season, that takes some. I am already on as well so sincerely hope he can do it. I think he is improving, still has a few pound in hand and that the trainer will really have made his mark in the UK by the end of the season. I think he will win and be marked up favourite for a big Royal Ascot race as soon as they begin pricing up. So I think I agree with your enthusiasm but I promise you my stake is about 20% of what my max would be, I guess I just do not have the minerals as they say. Good luck to you. My strongest bet tomorrow will be on Newbury 2.55 Rosdhu Queen at 7-4 best odds Next best Thirsk 4.00 Oriental Fox 8-1 best odds
2.55 Newbury Desert Image (NAP) Looks to me like the sort who will progress as a 3 year old and as these fillies step up in trip to 7f (and in the future towards 1m), this is the most likely to have progressed IMO. Maureen looked a lovely horse last year but for me will lack the stamina, whilst the strength of Rodhu Queens form looks questionable. Hills is in red hot form and Doyle rides well for Khalid Abdullah (16% strike rate). Just get the impression this race is open to a 'surprise' winner.
http://www.attheraces.com/article.a...t lesson&ref=PA Racing Feed&nav=&sub=&day=Sat I don't know about you lot but I'm really excited.
LIVELY BARON @ 25/1 is Shergars shoo in tommorow, in the jock Grand National. Can't really be arsed to do a write up, but I'm pretty hot on this ones chances. Don't really see any negatives to its form. Paddy Power are going first 5, and laying 25/1 BPG so I've lumped on with them
A sporting Patent Bet from me: Circus Turn 4.40 Newbury Thomas Hobson 7.30 Nottingham Thwart 8.00 Nottingham And I will be watching closely the run from Bold Sniper (4.05pm New). This is a hot maiden and I'll be pleased if he just behaves himself and runs his race. If he does he has a future. Good luck!!
Newbury 1.50 Guarantee 11/2 2.20 Educate 13/2 2.55 Mystical Sapphire 50/1 Naas 3.55 Doc Hay 6/1 NAP 4.30 Birds Eye View 5/2 NB
