please log in to view this image How about this off of the Peterborough site, kindly provided by DH Canary...... Look at Bristol City, we might just do it.....
The interesting thing here is the teams are converging on a very small points average window!...............0.6 to 1.6 pts per game. It is based on 6 games so each game will have an effect proportionally dis proportionate to the overall picture.......... eg Ipswich currently 1.34 points however lose the next game and their average is 0.66 pts....win it no difference...lose it no difference Huddsfield is 1.17 but win the next are 1.67 BCFC CURRENTLY 1.33 WIN THE NEXT AND 1.83, WIN THE NEXT 2 AND IT IS 2.33 which would be 60pts if carrying it through! In truth you can make this table do what you want, but it is interesting. better to have done something like the last 12 -14 results!
actually done something similar before Ipswich ave for 12 games =1.08 Barnsley= = 1.42 BCFC= = 1.42 PETERBRO = = 1.33 Sheff= = 1.58 do your own sums:- multiply this by games left and theoretical end game points
Interestingly, I did it based on all the games so far this season. And then averaged it out over the next 9 games. Unfortunately we finished in the bottom 3.
the reason for that is because we are where we are because our ave points, as you have done it, brings us to here so it does for the other teams. take away a block of games,say the first 10 /15 or 20 and do an average from there. Ideally which is what I did in previous post take it from when all teams had 23 results completed. Above i used the points gained in the teams last 12 games... whilst not an exact science use the above, then counter in Home form away form opposing teams form H or A and a picture forms etc...basic algorythim's or the law of probability..11 fit players v 11 of whom 7 fit players plus 9 of them are left footed 4 unfit are right footed.....barnsley V Brighton!
