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Probability of relegation

Discussion in 'Wycombe' started by Ron, Mar 16, 2013.

  1. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member Forum Moderator

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    Provided we don't get a 10 point deduction, which will almost certainly condemn us to NL football next season, what is the likelihood of us being relegated?

    There are 5 teams on 40 points and one on 41. Broadly speaking I would reckon that at least 2 of those 6 teams will lose 4 matches from their remaining 7/8 games. That would mean that those 2 teams will end up with a maximum of 52 points. This would require us to gain 4 points from our remaining 9 games. I cannot imagine how we can fail to achieve that. However, if we are deducted 10 points we will need 14 points from those 9 games. Possible but very difficult.

    Games remaining

    Tue 19 Mar Bradford v Wycombe
    Sat 23 Mar Burton Albion v Wycombe
    Fri 29 Mar Wycombe v Accrington
    Mon 1 Apr Morecambe v Wycombe
    Sat 6 Apr Oxford Utd v Wycombe
    Sat 13 Apr Wycombe v Aldershot
    Tue 16 Apr Wycombe v Northampton - re-arranged date
    Sat 20 Apr Barnet v Wycombe
    Sat 27 Apr Wycombe v Port Vale
     
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  2. josewwfc

    josewwfc Well-Known Member

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    realistically i think we need 1 more win, i cant see staying being an issue at all
     
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  3. ThaiCanary

    ThaiCanary Well-Known Member

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    Beat Accrington and help them on their way to non-league football and that would create a 12 point margin (with today's league table) - you then need 5 teams to leap-frog Wycombe before they enter the relegation spots - no chance <ok>























































    I really hope I have not jinxed the Chair Boys again :bandit:
     
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  4. josewwfc

    josewwfc Well-Known Member

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    i hope 2 of accrington, plymouth, york and toquay go down to save some of the longer journeys! by the same token, it would be helpful if exeter or rotherham went up!!!
     
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  5. mowgli1960

    mowgli1960 Well-Known Member

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    I don't want Plymouth to go down as they're well supported and a famous old club,Accrington can go as far as i'm concerned and maybe York.
     
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