we are getting to the last 1/3 of the season with 53 pts from 30 games if we carried that form on it would give us anther 28 pts that will be 3rd of 4th to get into the top 2 then 89 in most year would do it but with the top 3 all going well at the moment then it could even be 90 + . 6th place or above 75 pts and for us thats only anther 22 from 16 games we should be nailed on for that so my prediction is 10 win 2 draw 4 lose 32 pts + 53 total 85 and 4th place
I tend to always look at our fixture lists and think that we can win them all - sad, I know. But, looking again, I suspect that we will lose two, possibly three - and can win the rest. That would give us at least 92 points - and no idea at all where that would put us Strangely, the last time I thought along those lines, we were in the Premiership, so I'm obviously not very good at this...
Not even going to bother going there. One thing that is predictable about this league is it's unpredictability.
Pivotal point in the whole season for me is Ipswich, Derby and Boro', one after the other, starting at the end of March. Our form against top 6 teams is poor, so a decent return from these games could see us knocking on the automatic door.
Those were the three I thought we'd struggle with too. As always, Easter will sort the men from the boys...
The stats don't lie in this case. If we are to get autos then we are indeed going to have to up our game and improve our points won against top 6 and top 12 teams. At present 'Boro & Derby stats show they will finish in top 2. Brentford to drop out and Norwich in to top 6. The only mitigating circumstances are 10 men v Norwich & B'mouth which skew the figures I feel.
with it getting so close only the current top 7 can get to the 89/90 + pts needed to get into the top2 boro have go to b'mouth, derby, norwich and us should all of the top 7 win all there home games and get a point per away game then it would be boro 91 derby 90 b'mouth 88 ipswich 88 watford 87 brentford 83 norwich 82 we all know that not everyone will run into good form i think its about keeping the pressure on the top teams
The flaw in your reasoning is when top seven teams play each other, it is not possible for the home team to get 3 points and the away team to get one. Any formulaec predictions have to take into account the top teams playing each other!
you are missing the point. Boro have to play 8 away and need 8 pts they can lose against the top 4 sides win 2 and draw 2 of the remaining 4 games so it is poss
thaks ok dave lets face it anyone of the top 7 can go on a 10+ winning run and win the title i dont see it happening
Last day of the season - six teams on equal points with only a goal or two difference between five of them.
i was going to give you a "like"but you deserve a lot more than that id loveit just loveit but to be fair any 90+ should get us in the top 2 thats not fair on us oldies lets settle for us just winning our last game
I think final position is more easy to predict than points. Currently, Boro Derby and WFC are on same (10 game) performance - 21 points. Impressive recoveries from Derby & boro to get draws from difficult situations this week makes them the ones to beat. If we want to go up auto, we have to be ahead of 1 of them. Boro have Ipswich derby & bournemouth in 7 days in March. Just for interest, the difficulty level (assessed by position of opposition in the table today) of the remaining 15 games for the top 6 is (ignoring home/away, and previous results) is Derby 201 easiest Ave positiion of oppo 13.4 bournemouth 192 norwich 191 WFC 186 Boro 183 Ipswich 159 Ave 10.6 For the final 5 games it is... Derby 84 easiest Bourn' 83 boro 76 WFC 76 Norwich 69 Ipswich 66 Each club has a set of 2/3 consecutive fixtures that are tough - as many have indicated for us in late March.. Boro plat 4th 3rd and 2nd in a week. Derby play 6th,1st,8th in a week. The really fun night might be 17th March. Boro play derby, bournemouth play ipswich. (we play wigan) Anyway, I think Derby will finish top, us or Boro 2nd, the other 3rd, and as for the rest, frankly my dear I don't give a d**n.
you bring up a lot of good points.i agree with you on the top 3 predictions . like you i have been thinking that bournemouth would drop away but they are still in there. the good thing as i see as long as we are still close is our last 5 games millwall A notts for A brimingham H brighton A sheff wed H we would hope for 15pts but 11 or 12 is more that possible
on current form derby 93pts midd 88pts norw 87pts bour 86pts watf 85pts ipsw 82pts wolv 82pts bren 81pts all very tight that would make it norw v ipsw and bour v us not nice
before the local derby game then the current form of the last 12 games the table would be like this derby 91 pts midd 87pts norw 87pts watf 86pts wolv 83pts ipsw 82pts bour 78pts bren 76pts nott 69 pts
