Having notched up a morale boosting away win at Doncaster at the week-end, we can hopefully look forward to seeing Pompey inch further away from the danger zone in the coming weeks. However, that said, we are still, as things stand today, in a very real relegation dogfight. Without wanting to tempt fate i would suggest that Preston and S(c)unthorpe will fill two of the relegation spots, but the third could end up being occupied by any one of the next eight sides. One thing in our favour, if it goes to the wire, is our goal-difference of -5 (equal with Middlesbrough), compared with -11 for Bristol City and -21 for Crystal Palace and Sheffield Utd. All three of those sides visit Fratton Park in our next seven games, which consist of a plethora of six-pointers: Saturday, 19 February Barnsley at home Tuesday, 22 February 2011 Crystal Palace at home Saturday, 26 February 2011 Ipswich away Tuesday, 1 March 2011 S(c)unthorpe at home Saturday, 5 March 2011 Sheff Utd at home Tuesday, 8 March 2011 Bristol City away Saturday, 12 March 2011 Middlesbrough at home With 5 of those games at Fratton Park we should know by 12th March if we are sitting pretty or in the doo doo. How do you think we will fare?
I think we are 9 maybe 10 points from safety so only have to win half of the 7 games against the teams below us, 5 of these are at home. Sounds do-able, but this is Pompey we are talking about!!! I agree that we will know by the 12th, but hopefully sooner.
I've just looked at the average points needed to stay up over the last 8 seasons. Works out at just over 50, so 51 should be safe. Therefore we need another 16 points not 9-10 as I first thought (I'm just not used to these lower leagues!) Anyway, thats only 5 wins and a draw!
50 to 51 will be more than safe you will probably get away with something in the middle to high 40's. A good target to aim for is obviously the 50 mark. Continue the type of score you got last weekend and you will do OK. Continue with your seasonal average points will bring in around 49 points. I reckon you will be safe if you do that. Then if the Saints take their finger out we just might be up there with you.
Re the OP, I think you are confusing Pompey with Fulchester United. I think for them away goals counted double......
