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IMHO tis no longer down to points.
Merely about who holds their nerve best over the run-in.
Citeh, Chelsky and Spurs have a similar set of nasty games.
Chelsky are worse in that theirs comes in the final 6 games of the season.

The Goons have on paper the easiest run-in, but back to holding your nerve.

Nerve is really what it's about, isn't it? If Spurs hold their nerve, they'll get fourth, and third depends on whether they can excel more than Chelsea.

I don't have any degrees in psychology, but if I were AVB I'd be telling the team behind closed doors to focus on striving for third, maybe even second, because chasing is a much better mindset than trying to hold on. (Though I think he'll be a lot better at handling this than I would be...)

While Arsenal does have the easiest run in, the only real difference between them and us is that they have one game against a top side and we have two.