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Playoff / Promotion Targets Report Game 20

Discussion in 'Leeds United' started by Penshawdave, Dec 6, 2011.

  1. Penshawdave

    Penshawdave Well-Known Member

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    Continuing the STATS report on how Leeds Untited are doing against previous seasons progress. (Next report due after game 22)

    Two wins have changed the picture and have moved Leeds well into the PlayOff zone.

    With both Southampton and West Ham losing the gaps are closing at the top for the Auto spots.

    The tables shows games played, points to date and target points for Playoff or Auto promotion.

    This is only for Stats geeks.

    HTML:
    		This 		Play Off		Auto		
    Games	……	Season	…	Pts	…	Pts	….	Last Yr
    10	……	17	….	17	….	18	….	14
    12	……	21	….	20	….	22	….	17
    14	……	22	….	23	….	26	….	20
    16	……	25	….	26	….	30	….	24
    18	……	28	….	30	….	33	….	28
    20	……	34	….	33	….	37	….	32
    ..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
    22	……	??	….	36	….	41	….	38
    24	……	??	….	40	….	44	….	40
    26	……	??	….	43	….	48	….	41
    28	……	??	….	46	….	52	….	45
    30	……	??	….	50	….	55	….	49
    32	……	??	….	53	….	59	….	53
    34	……	??	….	56	….	63	….	54
    36	……	??	….	59	….	67	….	60
    38	……	??	….	63	….	70	….	61
    40	……	??	….	66	….	74	….	63
    42	……	??	….	69	….	78	….	65
    44	……	??	….	73	….	81	….	66
    46	……	??	….	76	….	85	….	72

    If we could manage the same performance for the next 20 games that would put us just ahead by 2 pts of playoff spot with 68 pts.
    To move into Auto promotion area we would need 40 pts from the next 20 ????
    (to bring us to 74 pts at game 40) A TALL order ! and assuming West Ham fall off the pace.

    CURRENT POSITION at Game 20

    2 points AHEAD of last seasons points after the same number of games
    1 point AHEAD of PLAYOFF target ( based on 76 pts…currently 74pts)
    3 points BEHIND AUTO target ( based on 85 pts…but currently 92pts )


    So we are even better off re Playoff say 3 pts ahead of current projection of 74pts
    BUT much worse off for AUTO say 10 pts behind on current projections of 92 pts

    At present West Ham are running at a projected season end total of 92 pts for second spot (well above previous seasons )

    Projected Season totals using current pts per game x 46.

    1 SOUT 97
    2 WHAM 92
    3 CARD 85
    4 MIDD 81
    5 LEED 78
    6 BRIG 74
    .. …. …
    7 HULL 73
    8 BIRM 70
    9 BLAC 69
    10 LEIC 67

    So its down the pan we hope for Brighton, Hull and Birmingham to really consolidate our playoff spot.
     
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