Interesting article here:
http://www.thespoiler.co.uk/index.p...-and-swansea-can-learn-from?yac=e#commentform
Tells you the likelihood of staying in the prem by looking at the percentage of premier league signings made. On the face of it, this looks like bad news for us, we're definitely less than the magic 39%...
BUT! what the article completely glosses over is that of the three teams that signed less than 39%, two (Birmingham and West Brom) bounced straight back up again from the championship and then had a much better chance of survival. The graph is too short, because Sunderland had also done the same thing. SO, signing hardly any prem experienced players means you're (according to the stats) guaranteed to go down. But, doing this means you're guaranteed to bounce straight up again (unless Blackpool prove an exception this year).
I think we could be the exception that proves the rule and that we will stay up. However, even if we don't, McNally and Lambert have clearly done their maths homework because stats never lie... All part of the plan.
http://www.thespoiler.co.uk/index.p...-and-swansea-can-learn-from?yac=e#commentform
Tells you the likelihood of staying in the prem by looking at the percentage of premier league signings made. On the face of it, this looks like bad news for us, we're definitely less than the magic 39%...
BUT! what the article completely glosses over is that of the three teams that signed less than 39%, two (Birmingham and West Brom) bounced straight back up again from the championship and then had a much better chance of survival. The graph is too short, because Sunderland had also done the same thing. SO, signing hardly any prem experienced players means you're (according to the stats) guaranteed to go down. But, doing this means you're guaranteed to bounce straight up again (unless Blackpool prove an exception this year).
I think we could be the exception that proves the rule and that we will stay up. However, even if we don't, McNally and Lambert have clearly done their maths homework because stats never lie... All part of the plan.
