1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

"Lessons" for promoted teams

Discussion in 'Norwich City' started by Canary Rob, Jul 6, 2011.

  1. Canary Rob

    Canary Rob Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 10, 2011
    Messages:
    11,846
    Likes Received:
    4,086
    Interesting article here:

    http://www.thespoiler.co.uk/index.p...-and-swansea-can-learn-from?yac=e#commentform

    Tells you the likelihood of staying in the prem by looking at the percentage of premier league signings made. On the face of it, this looks like bad news for us, we're definitely less than the magic 39%...

    BUT! what the article completely glosses over is that of the three teams that signed less than 39%, two (Birmingham and West Brom) bounced straight back up again from the championship and then had a much better chance of survival. The graph is too short, because Sunderland had also done the same thing. SO, signing hardly any prem experienced players means you're (according to the stats) guaranteed to go down. But, doing this means you're guaranteed to bounce straight up again (unless Blackpool prove an exception this year).

    I think we could be the exception that proves the rule and that we will stay up. However, even if we don't, McNally and Lambert have clearly done their maths homework because stats never lie... All part of the plan.
     
    #1
  2. canary-dave

    canary-dave Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    45,962
    Likes Received:
    8,518
    The only thing I found mildly entertaining from that rag were the 'sporno' pictures!

    The name of the thing makes you suspicious!
     
    #2
  3. Canary Rob

    Canary Rob Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 10, 2011
    Messages:
    11,846
    Likes Received:
    4,086
    Ha! Only just noticed them. Quite entertaining
     
    #3
  4. Rubik's Tube

    Rubik's Tube Member

    Joined:
    May 31, 2011
    Messages:
    649
    Likes Received:
    3
    A couple of players in their premier league debut seasons for newly promoted clubs...
    Andy Cole (Newcastle) 34 goals. 3rd place finish.
    Kevin Phillips (Sunderland) 30 goals, 7th place finish

    Lets not pretend that you need premier league experience to be a success in the premier league.
     
    #4

Share This Page