to avoid relegation this season? Historically the 45 point barrier has generally been enough to stay up in the Championship. I am not sure it will be this season, with Rotherham in the last relegation spot and on 36 points with 9 games to go, I reckon it may take as many as 48 points to be safe. I think we will get 52 points (3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from our remaining 9 games) now and be safe, although our goal difference is a big concern, it's by far the worst of any teams around us, and could in real terms cost us a point come May, but it's very tight, still any one from Least Likely Us - 52 Points Huddersfield - 49 pts Brentford - 54 Pts Fulham - 48 Pts Most Likely Rotherham - 43 Pts MK Dons - 43 Pts A lot of games still to come between a lot of these 6 sides, so a lot can and most likely will change. Given our poor home form, I almost wish our key games were away from home!!
since December all my postings regarding safety have pointed .... no pun intended ... to 47 , as commented in the last week will update my prediction later to day as being drawn out by an amazing event in the sky ..it is blue and a bright disc which seems to be sending warm rays to earth, think I remember such events in the past .... ... ... ...
45 is way too low, it's only the last few seasons that the total has been that low. The season we got relegated last time (2012/13), the 22nd place team went down with 54....! 52 is my target, minimum 50....
52 to be sure. Win the home games v Bolton, Rotherham and Huddersield would leave us needing 3 points from other 6 games. Oh, if only it were that simple
Last time we got relegated from the Championship Peterborough (54 points) and Wolves (51 points) went with us
Let's not forget we have both Rotherham and Bolton at home. I think if we win both of these we'll be fine. Lose and it'll probably go down to the final game.
Yes, that was tough on Peterborough,at one stage on the final day of the season, while games were still going on, Huddersfield were holding the last place with 57 Points! Bolton and Charlton look like they will do well to survive but that last place is likely to need a good number of points to be clear of it-
The situation has changed in the last two weeks. Previously, three teams were on 25/26 points and seemingly anchored to the bottom. At that time, I could see as low as 43 being enough for survival. But now, Rotherham have jumped away from the other two and thus the safety total has increased. I consider that 14 points is the most that Rotherham will gather from their remaining nine games. It may be less but now I would really like City to get to 50 without any delay.
is that based on fact, statistical reasoning, guess work or on opinion? see you are covering 3 bases there 52, 51 or 50 points .. so you are hoping it wont be 54 or more or 49 or less .
I am still sticking with 47 points ... ... after the weekends results ... based simply on my interpretation of how I feel the results will fall ... which at the moment could be all guess work! with Middsboro and Derby giving up the ghost! .the Warlord factor ... and Rigaletto inspiring Charlton to their potential ...
